Result
2:0
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/270) | 74% (290/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/270) | 74% (290/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 44% (41/94) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (59/105) | 60% (87/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', March J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Sass F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, Sass F. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
- 56', 2 - 0, Conneely S. ⚽, Martin D. (A),
- 57', Holicek M. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 57', March J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
- 62', Conneely S. 🟨,
- 77', Tezgel E. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 78', Walton T. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
- 78', Conneely S. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
- 87', Love D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
25.9% | Draw
27.3% | Crewe Alexandra
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(2.82) |
3.42 ↑
(3.37) |
2.02 ↓
(2.35) |
6.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
- Accrington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Crewe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Crewe could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Accrington: Coyle L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Back Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Thomas C.
(Inactive)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C.
(Inactive)
Heath I.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Crewe Alexandra?
Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Accrington Stanley?
Crewe Alexandra has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
09.08.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Accrington Stanley
2:0
25.01.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Accrington Stanley
0:1
14.09.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:1
06.04.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
16.12.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Accrington Stanley
3:3
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
