Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (162/237) | 60% (113/189) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (162/237) | 60% (113/189) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (15/57) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (66/109) | 51% (53/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Hartigan A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 1 - 0, O'Reilly T. ⚽, Agius C. (A),
- 57', 1 - 1, Ndlovu L. ⚽, Senior A. (A),
- 60', Hartigan A. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
- 61', March J. (Pen),
- 68', Holicek M. ↓, Golding J. ↑,
- 70', Collinge D. 🟨,
- 71', Sanders M. H. (Pen),
- 72', 🟨,
- 75', Billington L. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
- 77', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Glover R. ⚽,
- 83', Lunt O. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
- 84', Kanu I. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑,
- 86', Senior A. 🟨,
- 87', Shelton M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
37.3% | Draw
28.1% | Barnet
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)The ML Model estimate for Crewe Alexandra aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Crewe Alexandra - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.49) |
3.32 ↓
(3.45) |
2.76 ↑
(2.58) |
6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Barnet?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Barnet?
Crewe Alexandra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Crewe Alexandra?
Barnet has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Barnet were as follows:
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Crewe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 12 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
