Result
3:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 13
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (229/336) | 78% (332/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (229/336) | 78% (332/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (30/76) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (51/96) | 57% (73/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Collar W. ⚽, Ekpiteta M. (A),
- 26', Nemane A. 🟨,
- 36', Offord L. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lunt O. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
- 50', Paterson C. 🟨,
- 52', Collar W. 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 0, Gilbey A. ⚽, Nemane A. (A),
- 63', Nemane A. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
- 67', Lankester J. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
- 67', Thomas C. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
- 76', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 76', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 77', Sanders J. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
- 81', Hutchinson R. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 86', Gilbey A. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
63.6% | Draw
23% | Crewe Alexandra
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crewe Alexandra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-20.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crewe Alexandra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2.2) |
5.23 ↑
(3.46) |
9.25 ↑
(3.14) |
-11.8%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Crewe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, MK Dons is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jones G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Inactive)
Holicek M.
(Inactive)
Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Crewe Alexandra?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
21.04.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:1
29.12.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
16.03.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Crewe Alexandra
3:1
02.09.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
