Crewe Alexandra vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

: League Two - Round 44
Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	1.60
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
74% (282/381)	52% (113/216)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	1.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	0.98
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
10	4
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
9	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
28	18
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
21	14
Passes
74% (282/381)	52% (113/216)
Long passes
37% (29/79)	32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
66% (88/134)	40% (37/92)
Crosses
28% (10/36)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.18
Fouls
14	21
Tackles
56% (5/9)	81% (13/16)
Duels won
70	79
Clearances Total
27	58
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.98	0.07
Goals prevented
-0.02	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Hogan S. ⚽,
38', Offord L. 🟨,
42', Thomas C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Nemane A. 🟨,
57', Williams Z. ↓, Long Ch. ↑,
61', Leko J. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
61', Nemane A. ↓, White J. ↑,
75', Kelly L. ↓, Waller C. ↑,
76', Thomas C. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
76', Hemmings K. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
78', Hogan S. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
45.4%

Draw
27.6%

Milton Keynes Dons
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

23.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Milton Keynes Dons have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	3.5 ↑ (3.47)	6.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 19).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1.
Crewe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
MK Dons has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Crewe will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Crewe: Finney C. (Injury) Lankester J. (Injury) Lunt O. (Red Card) Robinson N. (Inactive) Tracey S. (Leg Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J. (Hamstring Injury) Tabiner J. (Injury) Thomas C. (Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Injury) Patterson T. (Inactive)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:25 (average 1.1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Crewe Alexandra?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

29.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra 1:1

16.03.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra 3:1

02.09.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons 3:1

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

18.04.2025 Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra 0:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 2:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Bradford City - Crewe Alexandra 2:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

18.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 2:4 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+