Result
3:1
08/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 15
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/337) | 60% (191/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/337) | 60% (191/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (37/88) | 32% (31/98) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (76/130) | 50% (65/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 56 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Lunt O. ⚽, Finney C. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Ruffels J. ⚽, Kabia I. (A),
- 32', Finney C. ↓, Hutchinson R. ↑,
- 36', Stubbs S. 🟨,
- 43', Boyle W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Hoole L. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 1, O'Reilly T. ⚽, Lunt O. (A),
- 63', Perry T. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
- 64', Stubbs S. ↓, Anderson T. ↑,
- 74', O'Reilly T. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
- 78', Scully A. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 78', Kabia I. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
- 87', Agius C. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
- 90+1', Sang T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Bogle O. ⚽,
- 90+4', Bogle O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
44.8% | Draw
29.4% | Shrewsbury Town
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Crewe Alexandra - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.01) |
3.2 ↑
(3.13) |
3.64 ↓
(3.85) |
6.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3.
- Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shrewsbury is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Crewe has had a series of home games.
- Crewe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crewe: March J.
(Inactive)
Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Clucas S.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Shrewsbury Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Shrewsbury Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
