Result
0:4
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (214/319) | 67% (171/257) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (214/319) | 67% (171/257) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (19/77) | 25% (20/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (74/133) | 52% (62/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Cox M. (Own goal),
- 8', 0 - 2, March J. ⚽, Lankester J. (A),
- 45+1', Lankester J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', Lankester J. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
- 61', Benning M. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 3, March J. ⚽, Tezgel E. (A),
- 64', March J. 🟨,
- 70', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 4, Tezgel E. ⚽, Billington L. (A),
- 71', Tezgel E. 🟨,
- 74', McDermott T. ↓, Gray W. ↑,
- 77', Tezgel E. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 77', O'Reilly T. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 77', March J. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
- 77', Sanders M. H. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shrewsbury Town
33.1% | Draw
28.1% | Crewe Alexandra
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shrewsbury Town's form might have worsened.Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shrewsbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.37) |
3.32 ↑
(3.26) |
2.44 ↓
(2.82) |
6.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Clucas S.
(Inactive)
Hoole L.
(Injury)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
Perry T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Inactive)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Shrewsbury Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Shrewsbury Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
08.11.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Shrewsbury Town
3:1
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
