Result
1:1
21/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Arce V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (205/292) | 80% (357/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (205/292) | 80% (357/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/92) | 59% (62/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 86% (18/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Piovi G. ↓, Orozco J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Badaloni T. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 59', Marquez J. 🟨,
- 61', Romero L. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 61', Faravelli L. ↓, Rotondi C. ↑,
- 61', Campos O. ↓, Rivero I. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Morales A. ⚽, Rotondi C. (A),
- 68', Pena A. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 79', Ditta W. 🟨,
- 80', Sepulveda A. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
- 83', Lara E. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Palavecino A. ⚽, Rosero K. (A),
Chances of winning
Necaxa
25.7% | Draw
24.7% | Cruz Azul
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Necaxa - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(3.45) |
3.78 ↑
(3.75) |
1.94 ↑
(1.88) |
5.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Cruz Azul?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Cruz Azul (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruz Azul will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
- Necaxa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cruz Azul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cruz Azul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cruz Azul will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Jacob T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Cruz Azul?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Necaxa?
Cruz Azul has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Cruz Azul were as follows:
28.01.2025
Necaxa
-
Cruz Azul
1:3
05.10.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Necaxa
3:0
16.03.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Necaxa
1:2
04.10.2023
Necaxa
-
Cruz Azul
1:3
21.01.2023
Necaxa
-
Cruz Azul
1:0
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10:25 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
