Result
0:0
22/04/2026 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, Claro Sports, Marca Claro, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/341) | 82% (375/455) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/341) | 82% (375/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (27/71) | 54% (41/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (34/76) | 72% (87/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Monreal R. ↓, Rosero K. ↑,
- 62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 62', Ledezma R. ↓, Alvarado R. ↑,
- 62', Gutierrez B. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
- 66', Alvarez E. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 73', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 73', Calderon C. 🟨,
- 74', Calderon C. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
- 77', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 78', Romo L. 🟨,
- 82', Badaloni T. ↓, Almendra A. E. ↑,
- 82', Marin R. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
- 82', Gutierrez K. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 90', Faravelli L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Pena A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
17.9% | Draw
21.1% | Chivas Guadalajara
61% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.25 ↑
(4.65) |
4.43 ↑
(3.9) |
1.55 ↓
(1.57) |
6.3%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
- Necaxa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Carranza J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Govea O.
(Calf Injury)
Ledezma R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Sepulveda A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Necaxa?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
23.09.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Necaxa
3:1
17.01.2025
Necaxa
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:2
22.10.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Necaxa
3:2
20.02.2024
Necaxa
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
13.07.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Necaxa
2:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | UNAM Pumas (1) | Club America (8) | 3 : 3 |
| 2 | Pachuca (4) | Toluca (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas (2) | Tigres UANL (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Atlas (6) | 3 : 2 |
