Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (191/252) | 87% (383/440) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (191/252) | 87% (383/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 54% (19/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (62/92) | 84% (152/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Walace 🟨,
- 42', Arroyo K. ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
- 45+2', Lucas Silva 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 0, Vinicius Zanocelo ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A),
- 65', Fernandinho ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 69', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
- 69', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Willian Machado (Own goal),
- 73', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 73', Lucas Mugni ↓, Vina ↑,
- 80', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 80', Christian ↓, Japa ↑,
- 80', Lucas Silva ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 80', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 85', Pedro Raul ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 85', Diego ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 85', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Richardson ↑,
- 89', Walace ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
Chances of winning
Ceará
34.4% | Draw
30.6% | Cruzeiro
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Ceará - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↓
(3.08) |
3.1 ↑
(2.98) |
2.73 ↑
(2.62) |
4.5%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Ceará (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Ceará (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Recent performances by Ceará have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cruzeiro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Romero L.
(Yellow Cards)
Wanderson
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernando Sobral
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Arroyo K.
(Injury)
Christian
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Cruzeiro?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Ceará?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Cruzeiro were as follows:
27.07.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Ceará
1:2
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Internacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
