Result
1:1
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
64% (138/215) | 81% (304/377) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.32 | 0.73 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 4 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
64% (138/215) | 81% (304/377) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (29/66) | 25% (9/36) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (61/111) | 52% (30/58) |
Crosses |
---|
3% (1/29) | 8% (1/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.47 | 0.22 |
Throw-ins |
---|
34 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (10/17) | 50% (6/12) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 59 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.73 | 1.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.27 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Davila E. 🟨,
- 37', Jonathan Jesus 🟨,
- 45+1', Murilo Rhikman 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 0, Orejuela C. ⚽,
- 60', Walace ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 60', Rodriguinho ↓, Kenji ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽,
- 67', Arce L. 🟨,
- 69', Eduardo ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 69', Bolasie Y. ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
- 69', Simisterra R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 78', Kaua Prates ↓, Fagner ↑,
- 80', Penilla C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa 41.9% | Draw 29.1% | Cruzeiro 29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.23 ↑ (2.11) |
3.25 ↓ (3.31) |
3.27 ↓ (3.48) |
6.2% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mushuc Runa: 45.7% – 84.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 3 - 60%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mushuc Runa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Cruzeiro?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Mushuc Runa?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro were as follows:
09.04.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Mushuc Runa
1:2
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | TBD #3 | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | TBD #11 | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal