Mushuc Runa vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro
Result
1:1
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.50
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
64% (138/215)81% (304/377)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.320.73
Total shots
137
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
284
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
64% (138/215)81% (304/377)
Long passes
44% (29/66)25% (9/36)
Passes in final third
55% (61/111)52% (30/58)
Crosses
3% (1/29)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.22
Throw-ins
3413
Fouls
1310
Tackles
59% (10/17)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
1459
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.731.32
Goals prevented
-0.270.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Davila E. 🟨,
  • 37', Jonathan Jesus 🟨,
  • 45+1', Murilo Rhikman 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Orejuela C. ,
  • 60', Walace , Romero L. ,
  • 60', Rodriguinho , Kenji ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Diaz L. ,
  • 67', Arce L. 🟨,
  • 69', Eduardo , Wanderson ,
  • 69', Bolasie Y. , Dinenno J. ,
  • 69', Simisterra R. , Caicedo E. ,
  • 78', Kaua Prates , Fagner ,
  • 80', Penilla C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mushuc Runa
41.9%
Draw
29.1%
Cruzeiro
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.4% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 28.6% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.11)
    3.25
    (3.31)
    3.27
    (3.48)
    6.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mushuc Runa: 45.7%84.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 3 - 60%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mushuc Runa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Mushuc Runa 1:2
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    04.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 2:1
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    27.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    24.04.2025 Palestino - Cruzeiro 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2TBD #3Independiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6TBD #11Godoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2