Mushuc Runa vs Cruzeiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro
Result
1:1
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.50
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
64% (138/215)81% (304/377)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.320.73
Total shots
137
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
284
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
64% (138/215)81% (304/377)
Long passes
44% (29/66)25% (9/36)
Passes in final third
55% (61/111)52% (30/58)
Crosses
3% (1/29)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.22
Throw-ins
3413
Fouls
1310
Tackles
59% (10/17)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
1459
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.731.32
Goals prevented
-0.270.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Davila E. 🟨,
  • 37', Jonathan Jesus 🟨,
  • 45+1', Murilo Rhikman 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Orejuela C. ⚽,
  • 60', Walace ↓, Romero L. ↑,
  • 60', Rodriguinho ↓, Kenji ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽,
  • 67', Arce L. 🟨,
  • 69', Eduardo ↓, Wanderson ↑,
  • 69', Bolasie Y. ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
  • 69', Simisterra R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
  • 78', Kaua Prates ↓, Fagner ↑,
  • 80', Penilla C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mushuc Runa
41.9%		Draw
29.1%		Cruzeiro
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.4% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 28.6% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
    •

    Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.23 ↑
    (2.11)    		 3.25 ↓
    (3.31)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.48)    		 6.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mushuc Runa: 45.7% – 84.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 3 - 60%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mushuc Runa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Mushuc Runa 1:2
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    03.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará 4:3 ✺
    27.04.2025 SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa 2:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - Unión Santa Fe 3:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 2:1
    14.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    04.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 2:1 ✺
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    27.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:0 ✺
    24.04.2025 Palestino - Cruzeiro 2:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Cruzeiro 1:0 ✺
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
    brazilBrazilParamount+
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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