Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (193/268) | 84% (432/513) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (193/268) | 84% (432/513) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 63% (29/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (62/91) | 68% (126/184) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 3 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Samorodov M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Pryakhin S. 🟨,
- 59', Kozlov D. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
- 60', Silva I. 🟨,
- 68', Kislyak M. ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
- 68', Glebov K. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 71', Sadulaev L. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 71', Silva I. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
- 82', Gondou L. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
- 82', Matheus Reis ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
- 82', Sidorov M. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,
- 82', Pryakhin S. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
- 90+4', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 90+4', Konate M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
32% | Draw
28.3% | CSKA Moscow
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+4%)
Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.21) |
3.43 ↑
(3.4) |
2.45 ↑
(2.31) |
3%
(3.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 1 - 25%). CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - CSKA (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Akhmat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, CSKA has had a series of home games.
- CSKA could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 14:43. (average 0.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against CSKA Moscow?
Akhmat Grozny has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Akhmat Grozny?
CSKA Moscow has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
27.07.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
04.05.2025
Akhmat Grozny
-
CSKA Moscow
1:1
22.10.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:0
28.09.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:0
27.08.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
CSKA Moscow
0:2
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42:16 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Zenit | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 38:14 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Baltika | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 26:9 | 17 | 39 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 36 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:30 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Pari NN | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Krylya Sovetov | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
