Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (154/265) | 78% (347/444) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (154/265) | 78% (347/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (27/69) | 54% (36/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (42/90) | 61% (81/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 4% (1/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 45', Glebov K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Petrov I. ↓, Mendel A. ↑,
- 51', Yenne T. 🟨,
- 61', Civic E. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
- 61', Yenne T. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Gil B. ⚽,
- 65', Musaev T. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
- 69', Krugovoy D. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
- 69', Barinov D. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 69', Glebov K. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
- 75', Matheus Reis ↓, Danilov K. ↑,
- 76', Titkov N. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
- 80', Mendel A. ↓, Filin A. ↑,
- 89', Moises 🟨,
- 90+1', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 90+13', 🟨,
- 90+14', Beveev M. 🟨,
- 90+14', Gil B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
35% | Draw
30% | CSKA Moscow
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(2.81) |
3.18 ↑
(3.05) |
2.74 ↑
(2.49) |
4.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, CSKA has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Baltika: Belikov I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in CSKA: Gondou L.
(Red Card)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against CSKA Moscow?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
CSKA Moscow has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
28.09.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:0
18.09.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:2
27.08.2025
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
CSKA Moscow
0:2
28.04.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
CSKA Moscow
3:1
16.04.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:0
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Zenit | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48:30 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:9 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:52 | -32 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
