CSKA Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad
Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 10
  • Referee: Ivanov S. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.21
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
215
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
84% (461/548)69% (181/262)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.04
Total shots
215
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
397
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
255
Passes
84% (461/548)69% (181/262)
Long passes
46% (26/57)43% (29/67)
Passes in final third
69% (130/189)58% (44/76)
Crosses
40% (12/30)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.860.37
Throw-ins
3213
Fouls
525
Tackles
67% (8/12)74% (17/23)
Duels won
6050
Clearances
1835
Interceptions
617
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.041.21
Goals prevented
0.040.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Pryakhin S. 🟨,
  • 42', Akinfeev I. 🟨,
  • 42', Andrade K. 🟨,
  • 44', Pryakhin S. , Civic E. ,
  • 45+1', Titkov N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Offor C. , Gil B. ,
  • 60', Titkov N. , Belikov I. ,
  • 65', Belikov I. 🟨,
  • 73', Musaev T. , Alerrandro ,
  • 73', Henrique Carmo , Popolitov G. ,
  • 80', Matheus Alves , Glebov K. ,
  • 83', Andrade K. 🟨,
  • 87', Gajic M. , Shumansky A. ,
  • 87', Petrov M. , Gassama N. ,
  • 89', Glebov K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Diveev I. , Kislyak M. (A),

Chances of winning


CSKA Moscow
49.4%
Draw
28.4%
Baltika Kaliningrad
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 25.9% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 27.3% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA Moscow's form might have worsened.
  • Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.69)
    3.4
    (3.6)
    4.36
    (4.9)
    3.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad?
  • Users Predictions: CSKA Moscow will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, CSKA is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
    18.09.2025 CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad 1:2
    27.08.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow 0:2
    28.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow 3:1
    16.04.2024 CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad 2:0
    03.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    Latest results of CSKA Moscow
    Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar1392225:71829
    2Lokomotiv Moscow1376030:171327
    3CSKA Moscow1383223:131027
    4Zenit1375126:111526
    5Baltika1366118:61224
    6Spartak Moscow1364321:18322
    7Rubin Kazan1353515:19-418
    8Akhmat Grozny1244416:15116
    9Dynamo Moscow1344521:21016
    10FK Rostov1336411:14-315
    11Krylya Sovetov1334617:23-613
    12Akron Togliatti1326515:19-412
    13Dynamo Makhachkala132566:16-1011
    14Orenburg1315714:24-108
    15Pari NN1321109:23-147
    16Sochi121297:28-215

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL