Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
- Referee: Ivanov S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (461/548) | 69% (181/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (461/548) | 69% (181/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 43% (29/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (130/189) | 58% (44/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Pryakhin S. 🟨,
- 42', Akinfeev I. 🟨,
- 42', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 44', Pryakhin S. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
- 45+1', Titkov N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Offor C. ↓, Gil B. ↑,
- 60', Titkov N. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
- 65', Belikov I. 🟨,
- 73', Musaev T. ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
- 73', Henrique Carmo ↓, Popolitov G. ↑,
- 80', Matheus Alves ↓, Glebov K. ↑,
- 83', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 87', Gajic M. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
- 87', Petrov M. ↓, Gassama N. ↑,
- 89', Glebov K. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Diveev I. ⚽, Kislyak M. (A),
Chances of winning
CSKA Moscow
49.4% | Draw
28.4% | Baltika Kaliningrad
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA Moscow's form might have worsened.Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.69) |
3.4 ↓
(3.6) |
4.36 ↓
(4.9) |
3.6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad?
Users Predictions:
CSKA Moscow will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, CSKA is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
CSKA Moscow has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against CSKA Moscow?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
18.09.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:2
27.08.2025
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
CSKA Moscow
0:2
28.04.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
CSKA Moscow
3:1
16.04.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:0
03.04.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
CSKA Moscow
0:1
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Baltika | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
