Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/415) | 73% (202/276) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/415) | 73% (202/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (118/151) | 56% (34/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (19/25) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Moises ⚽, Oblyakov I. (A),
- 24', Moises 🟨,
- 31', Oblyakov I. 🟨,
- 36', Cordoba J. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Cordoba J. ⚽, Joao Batxi (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, Victor Sa ⚽, Spertsyan E. (A),
- 55', Villagra R. 🟨,
- 58', Popovic M. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
- 58', Villagra R. ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
- 68', Moises 🟨,
- 70', 3 - 1, Joao Batxi ⚽,
- 73', Diego Costa 🟨,
- 76', Victor Sa ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 85', Douglas Augusto ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
- 85', Chernikov A. ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
- 86', Krugovoy D. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 86', Glebov K. ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Matheus Alves ⚽,
- 90+4', Joao Batxi ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
57.8% | Draw
23.9% | CSKA Moscow
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(2.12) |
3.99 ↑
(3.4) |
5.2 ↑
(3.25) |
4.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Krasnodar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Krasnodar will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 1.
- Krasnodar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- CSKA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Krasnodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Krasnodar is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D.
(Injury)
Koksharov A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Petrov S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in CSKA: Di Luciano R.
(Knee Injury)
Lukin M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against CSKA Moscow?
Krasnodar has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Krasnodar?
CSKA Moscow has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
31.08.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:1
12.07.2025
Krasnodar
-
CSKA Moscow
0:1
10.05.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:0
10.02.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:2
18.09.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
2:0
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 37:12 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Zenit | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34:12 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 39:23 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 30:17 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 24:7 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 23 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 22 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 17 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 15 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:28 | -16 | 14 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17:29 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Sochi | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16:41 | -25 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
