Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
17/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
101
Shots on target
70
Corner kicks
62
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
02
Total shots
101
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
31
Corner kicks
62
Free kicks
1519

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Joao Batxi 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Douglas Augusto ,
  • 39', Krivtsov N. 🟨,
  • 42', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 45+4', Matheus Reis 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Gondou L. , Danilov K. ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Joao Batxi , Cordoba J. (A),
  • 55', Douglas Augusto 🟨,
  • 58', 3 - 0, Cordoba J. , Krivtsov N. (A),
  • 63', Moises 🟨,
  • 63', Moises 🟨,
  • 66', Douglas Augusto , Lenini K. ,
  • 67', 4 - 0, Joao Batxi , Spertsyan E. (A),
  • 70', Lenini K. 🟨,
  • 72', Glebov K. , Musaev T. ,
  • 72', Kislyak M. , Kozlov D. ,
  • 77', Victor Sa , Boselli J. ,
  • 82', Barinov D. 🟨,
  • 88', Oblyakov I. , Lukin M. ,
  • 90', Joao Batxi , Guseynov E. ,
  • 90', Spertsyan E. , Burkin E. ,

Chances of winning


Krasnodar
57.3%
Draw
23.1%
CSKA Moscow
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 21.2% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 22.4% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krasnodar's form might have worsened.
  • CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.47)
    4.18
    (4.4)
    4.93
    (6)
    3.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). CSKA will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Krasnodar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - CSKA (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Krasnodar (votes: 1 - 50%). CSKA (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-3. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Krasnodar is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
    04.03.2026 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 3:1
    03.02.2026 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 2:2
    07.12.2025 Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow 3:2
    31.08.2025 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 1:1
    12.07.2025 Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    14.03.2026 Sochi - Krasnodar 1:2
    08.03.2026 Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar 2:1
    04.03.2026 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 3:1
    28.02.2026 Krasnodar - Rostov 2:1
    17.02.2026 Krasnodar - Zenit 0:1
    Latest results of CSKA Moscow
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ZenitDynamo Moscow1 : 0, 1 : 3
    2Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow3 : 2, 3 : 1
    3Dynamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow1 : 3, 1 : 0
    4OrenburgKrasnodar0 : 4, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Dynamo MoscowSpartak Moscow0 : 1, 5 : 2
    2CSKA MoscowKrasnodar0 : 4, 3 : 1

    Final
    1Dynamo MoscowKrasnodar