Result
04/03/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Chances of winning
CSKA Moscow
35.4% | Draw
27.7% | Krasnodar
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.65) |
3.45 ↑
(3.3) |
2.6 ↑
(2.55) |
4.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 2.
- CSKA is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Krasnodar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Krasnodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Krasnodar?
CSKA Moscow has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against CSKA Moscow?
Krasnodar has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar were as follows:
03.02.2026
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
2:2
07.12.2025
Krasnodar
-
CSKA Moscow
3:2
31.08.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:1
12.07.2025
Krasnodar
-
CSKA Moscow
0:1
10.05.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:0
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Latest results of Krasnodar
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Zenit | Dynamo Moscow | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Dynamo Makhachkala | CSKA Moscow | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Orenburg | Krasnodar | 0 : 4, 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dynamo Moscow | Spartak Moscow | |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | Krasnodar | |
