Result
2:0
10/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 21
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (176/264) | 82% (384/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (176/264) | 82% (384/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (16/61) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (39/81) | 70% (92/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', DG 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Joao Vitor ⚽, Alef Manga (A),
- 35', 2 - 0, Marcos Vinicius ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
- 39', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 44', Alisson Safira (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Carlos Alberto 🟨,
- 62', David Miguel ↓, Jader ↑,
- 62', Carlos Alberto ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 69', Alef Manga ↓, Guilherme Santos ↑,
- 78', Calebe Costa ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
- 78', Martinez A. ↓, De Lucca ↑,
- 83', Cleber ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 87', Denilson Alves ↓, Nathan Cruz ↑,
Chances of winning
Avaí
46.2% | Draw
29.7% | Cuiabá
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cuiabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuiabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avaí - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.28) |
3.13 ↓
(3.22) |
3.87 ↑
(3.08) |
7.1%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avaí - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Avaí is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Avaí: Quaresma
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Injury)
Asad Y.
(Injury)
Mateus Pasinato
(Inactive)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Hygor
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Cuiabá?
Avaí has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Avaí?
Cuiabá has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Cuiabá were as follows:
10.04.2025
Cuiabá
-
Avaí
2:2
27.10.2022
Cuiabá
-
Avaí
1:0
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 4 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
