Coritiba vs Cuiabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Coritiba - Cuiabá
Result
2:0
22/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 13
  • Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.37
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
85% (294/345)86% (310/361)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.13
Total shots
118
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
87
Passes
85% (294/345)86% (310/361)
Long passes
59% (30/51)40% (16/40)
Passes in final third
78% (62/80)73% (69/95)
Crosses
26% (7/27)12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.41
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
78
Tackles
58% (7/12)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3631
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.130.65
Goals prevented
0.13-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Jadson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', Gomez S. , de Pena C. ,
  • 59', Dellatorre , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Bruno Melo ,
  • 70', Jadson , Gabriel Mineiro ,
  • 72', Lucas Ronier , Clayson ,
  • 73', Iury Castilho , Wallisson ,
  • 77', 2 - 0, Josue , Clayson (A),
  • 82', Josue , Everaldo ,
  • 85', Max Alves , David ,
  • 86', De Lucca , Calebe Costa ,
  • 86', Juan Christian , Victor Barbara ,

Chances of winning


Coritiba
51.7%
Draw
30%
Cuiabá
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 31% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 30.4% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coritiba's performance.
  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cuiabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coritiba that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuiabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Coritiba - Cuiabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.14)
    3.13
    (2.99)
    5.01
    (3.59)
    5.9%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Coritiba - Cuiabá?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.
    • Coritiba is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cuiabá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Coritiba is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Guilherme Vargas (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Alisson Safira (Red Card) Asad Y. (Injury) Pedrinho (Inactive) Sander (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Coritiba: Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Cuiabá were as follows:
    18.10.2023 Coritiba - Cuiabá 0:3
    27.05.2023 Cuiabá - Coritiba 1:1
    13.11.2022 Cuiabá - Coritiba 2:1
    Latest results of Coritiba
    05.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 0:0
    31.05.2025 Coritiba - Avaí 2:1
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    06.06.2025 Cuiabá - Paysandu 1:0
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    26.05.2025 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 1:0
    16.05.2025 Chapecoense - Cuiabá 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1897223:121134
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Cuiaba1884622:21128
    6Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    7Remo1768319:15426
    8Avai1767420:18225
    9Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    17Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1746712:20-818

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )