Result
2:0
22/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 13
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (294/345) | 86% (310/361) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (294/345) | 86% (310/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 40% (16/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (62/80) | 73% (69/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Jadson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', Gomez S. ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 59', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Bruno Melo ⚽,
- 70', Jadson ↓, Gabriel Mineiro ↑,
- 72', Lucas Ronier ↓, Clayson ↑,
- 73', Iury Castilho ↓, Wallisson ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Josue ⚽, Clayson (A),
- 82', Josue ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 85', Max Alves ↓, David ↑,
- 86', De Lucca ↓, Calebe Costa ↑,
- 86', Juan Christian ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
Chances of winning
Coritiba
51.7% | Draw
30% | Cuiabá
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coritiba's performance.Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cuiabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coritiba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuiabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Coritiba - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.14) |
3.13 ↑
(2.99) |
5.01 ↑
(3.59) |
5.9%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.
- Coritiba is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cuiabá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Coritiba is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Guilherme Vargas
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alisson Safira
(Red Card)
Asad Y.
(Injury)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
Sander
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Rodrigo Moledo
(Knock)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Cuiabá?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Coritiba?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Cuiabá were as follows:
18.10.2023
Coritiba
-
Cuiabá
0:3
27.05.2023
Cuiabá
-
Coritiba
1:1
13.11.2022
Cuiabá
-
Coritiba
2:1
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
| 2 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | CRB | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:21 | 2 | 28 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
| 13 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 16 | America MG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 22 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14:30 | -16 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
