Coritiba vs Cuiabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Coritiba - Cuiabá
Result
2:0
22/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 13
  • Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.37
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
85% (294/345)86% (310/361)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.13
Total shots
118
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
87
Passes
85% (294/345)86% (310/361)
Long passes
59% (30/51)40% (16/40)
Passes in final third
78% (62/80)73% (69/95)
Crosses
26% (7/27)12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.41
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
78
Tackles
58% (7/12)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3631
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.130.65
Goals prevented
0.13-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Jadson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', Gomez S. , de Pena C. ,
  • 59', Dellatorre , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Bruno Melo ,
  • 70', Jadson , Gabriel Mineiro ,
  • 72', Lucas Ronier , Clayson ,
  • 73', Iury Castilho , Wallisson ,
  • 77', 2 - 0, Josue , Clayson (A),
  • 82', Josue , Everaldo ,
  • 85', Max Alves , David ,
  • 86', De Lucca , Calebe Costa ,
  • 86', Juan Christian , Victor Barbara ,

Chances of winning


Coritiba
51.7%
Draw
30%
Cuiabá
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 31% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 30.4% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coritiba's performance.
  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cuiabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coritiba that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuiabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Coritiba - Cuiabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.14)
    3.13
    (2.99)
    5.01
    (3.59)
    5.9%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Coritiba - Cuiabá?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.
    • Coritiba is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cuiabá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Coritiba is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Guilherme Vargas (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Alisson Safira (Red Card) Asad Y. (Injury) Pedrinho (Inactive) Sander (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Coritiba: Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Cuiabá were as follows:
    18.10.2023 Coritiba - Cuiabá 0:3
    27.05.2023 Cuiabá - Coritiba 1:1
    13.11.2022 Cuiabá - Coritiba 2:1
    Latest results of Coritiba
    05.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 0:0
    31.05.2025 Coritiba - Avaí 2:1
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    06.06.2025 Cuiabá - Paysandu 1:0
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    26.05.2025 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 1:0
    16.05.2025 Chapecoense - Cuiabá 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Remo25911527:22538
    6Novorizontino2499626:23336
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17America MG24741325:32-725
    18Amazonas25591126:37-1124
    19Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )