Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 32
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (295/346) | 86% (459/531) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (295/346) | 86% (459/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 48% (19/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (67/86) | 75% (98/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Alisson Safira ⚽, Denilson Alves (A),
- 10', Wallisson 🟨,
- 29', De Lucca 🟨,
- 40', Bruno Melo 🟨,
- 40', Alisson Safira (Pen),
- 45+6', Juan Christian 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
- 54', Alisson Safira ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 54', Juan Christian ↓, Jader ↑,
- 58', Maicon ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
- 59', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
- 66', Iury Castilho ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 66', Clayson ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
- 71', Nathan Pelae ↓, Sander ↑,
- 71', Denilson Alves ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
- 86', Matheusinho ↓, Nino Paraiba ↑,
- 87', Bruno Alves 🟨,
- 90+8', Alex Silva 🟨,
- 90+8', Nino Paraiba 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
45.1% | Draw
31.7% | Coritiba
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+4%)
Cuiabá - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.22) |
3.15 ↑
(3.05) |
4.38 ↑
(3.25) |
0.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Coritiba (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cuiabá could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Inactive)
Asad Y.
(Knee Injury)
Calebe Costa
(Injury)
Mateus Pasinato
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier
(Thigh Injury)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Injury)
de Pena C.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Coritiba?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Cuiabá?
Coritiba has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Coritiba were as follows:
22.06.2025
Coritiba
-
Cuiabá
2:0
18.10.2023
Coritiba
-
Cuiabá
0:3
27.05.2023
Cuiabá
-
Coritiba
1:1
13.11.2022
Cuiabá
-
Coritiba
2:1
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
