Cuiabá vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B
Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 32
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.02
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
85% (295/346)86% (459/531)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.20
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2326
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
918
Passes
85% (295/346)86% (459/531)
Long passes
50% (27/54)48% (19/40)
Passes in final third
78% (67/86)75% (98/130)
Crosses
25% (3/12)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.062.11
Throw-ins
620
Fouls
189
Tackles
73% (8/11)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
419
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.200.94
Goals prevented
0.20-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Alisson Safira ⚽, Denilson Alves (A),
  • 10', Wallisson 🟨,
  • 29', De Lucca 🟨,
  • 40', Bruno Melo 🟨,
  • 40', Alisson Safira (Pen),
  • 45+6', Juan Christian 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
  • 54', Alisson Safira ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
  • 54', Juan Christian ↓, Jader ↑,
  • 58', Maicon ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
  • 59', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
  • 66', Iury Castilho ↓, Everaldo ↑,
  • 66', Clayson ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
  • 71', Nathan Pelae ↓, Sander ↑,
  • 71', Denilson Alves ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
  • 86', Matheusinho ↓, Nino Paraiba ↑,
  • 87', Bruno Alves 🟨,
  • 90+8', Alex Silva 🟨,
  • 90+8', Nino Paraiba 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
45.1%		Draw
31.7%		Coritiba
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 30.2% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.1% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+4%)
    •

    Cuiabá - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.16 ↓
    (2.22)    		 3.15 ↑
    (3.05)    		 4.38 ↑
    (3.25)    		 0.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Coritiba (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cuiabá could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive) Asad Y. (Knee Injury) Calebe Costa (Injury) Mateus Pasinato (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier (Thigh Injury) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Injury) de Pena C. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Coritiba were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Coritiba - Cuiabá 2:0
    18.10.2023 Coritiba - Cuiabá 0:3
    27.05.2023 Cuiabá - Coritiba 1:1
    13.11.2022 Cuiabá - Coritiba 2:1
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    08.10.2025 Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Paysandu - Cuiabá 1:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Cuiabá - Athletic Club 2:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Cuiabá - Chapecoense 1:0
    Latest results of Coritiba
    09.10.2025 Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense 2:1 ✺
    03.10.2025 Coritiba - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺
    29.09.2025 Avaí - Coritiba 0:2
    25.09.2025 Coritiba - Criciúma 0:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 América Mineiro - Coritiba 1:0 ✺
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avai00000:000
    2Ceara00000:000
    3Sport Recife00000:000
    4Goias00000:000
    5Nautico00000:000
    6CRB00000:000
    7Criciuma00000:000
    8Vila Nova FC00000:000
    9Juventude00000:000
    10Ponte Preta00000:000
    11Fortaleza00000:000
    12Atletico GO00000:000
    13America MG00000:000
    14Botafogo SP00000:000
    15Londrina00000:000
    16Sao Bernardo00000:000
    17Cuiaba00000:000
    18Operario-PR00000:000
    19Novorizontino00000:000
    20Athletic Club00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy