Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio
Result
3:1
02/12/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Fernandez A. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
uruguayUruguayVTV+
worldWorldDisney+, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
1021
Shots on Goal
48
Shots off Goal
613
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
71
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Ginzo J. M. , Romero D. (A),
  • 29', Ancheta E. 🟨,
  • 32', Cesar R. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Centeno B. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Leyes G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 3 - 1, Noble Sequeira A. M. ,
  • 67', Tealde F. , Fuica N. ,
  • 67', Pintos I. , Novick H. ,
  • 67', Fernandez S. , Bueno G. ,
  • 67', Pereira I. , Cantera M. ,
  • 73', de Leon E. , Larrazabal G. ,
  • 73', Romero D. , Tormo S. ,
  • 80', Centeno B. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 80', Ginzo J. M. , Marino F. ,
  • 84', Leyes G. , Azambuja N. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maldonado
23.5%
Draw
29.5%
Danubio
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 30.7% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 29.9% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (3.46)
    3.16
    (3.07)
    1.98
    (2.24)
    7.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Maldonado won 0.
    • Recent matches Maldonado is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Danubio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Danubio is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Maldonado won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:12 (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Maldonado won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio were as follows:
    03.06.2024 Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado 1:1
    06.11.2023 Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio 1:2
    25.03.2023 Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado 4:0
    Latest results of Danubio
    14.11.2024 Danubio - Cerro 0:0
    09.11.2024 Rampla Juniors - Danubio 0:2
    02.11.2024 Danubio - Miramar Misiones 1:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo43106:2410
    2Penarol43018:359
    3Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    4Boston River42207:258
    5Montevideo City42119:637
    6CA Cerro42115:327
    7Liverpool M42114:317
    8Juventud42024:5-16
    9Racing Montevideo42023:6-36
    10Nacional42118:624
    11Miramar41125:504
    12Danubio41122:3-14
    13Progreso41034:7-33
    14Wanderers40131:4-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16River Plate40130:5-51

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