Result
0:1
26/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Varela E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', De Leon F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Brandao 🟨,
- 62', Femia E. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
- 62', Escobar M. ↓, Camejo L. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Pollero R. ⚽,
- 70', Peralta M. ↓, Velazquez A. ↑,
- 70', Brandao ↓, Azambuja N. ↑,
- 77', Sanseviero L. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
- 77', Rabino R. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 78', Pollero R. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 82', Frascarelli D. 🟨,
- 83', De Leon F. ↓, Correa T. ↑,
- 84', Alfonso M. ↓, Pintado R. ↑,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Danubio
52.1% | Draw
26.1% | River Plate Montevideo
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Danubio - River Plate Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.86) |
3.49 ↑
(3.48) |
4.33 ↑
(3.84) |
7.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Danubio - River Plate Montevideo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Danubio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Danubio will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Danubio is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against River Plate Montevideo?
Danubio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate Montevideo won against Danubio?
River Plate Montevideo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
26.04.2025
River Plate Montevideo
-
Danubio
1:0
15.09.2024
Danubio
-
River Plate Montevideo
3:0
02.03.2024
River Plate Montevideo
-
Danubio
1:0
11.11.2023
Danubio
-
River Plate Montevideo
0:0
22.07.2023
Danubio
-
River Plate Montevideo
0:0
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Liverpool M | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | River Plate | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
