Cincinnati vs DC United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.90
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (459/570)74% (274/368)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.501.53
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
259
Passes
81% (459/570)74% (274/368)
Long passes
52% (37/71)35% (24/69)
Passes in final third
56% (58/104)61% (86/140)
Crosses
18% (3/17)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.76
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
925
Tackles
47% (7/15)56% (9/16)
Duels won
6654
Clearances
2138
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.530.50
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Gabriel Pirani , Schnegg D. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Denkey K. , Evander (A),
  • 19', 1 - 2, Antley C. , Gabriel Pirani (A), Herrera A. (A2)
  • 44', Peltola M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Miazga M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Murrell J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Peglow , Kijima H. ,
  • 46', Hadebe T. , Orellano L. ,
  • 46', Anunga T. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 46', Valenzuela G. , Kamara K. ,
  • 60', Gabriel Pirani , Stroud J. ,
  • 60', Murrell J. , Badji D. ,
  • 60', Peltola M. , Servania B. ,
  • 68', Miazga M. , Smith B. ,
  • 69', Servania B. 🟨,
  • 83', Denkey K. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 84', Boris Enow , Zouhir R. ,
  • 90+4', Badji D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Zouhir R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
65.4%
Draw
20.5%
DC United
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 24.3% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 23.1% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Cincinnati - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.53)
    4.64
    (3.7)
    6.74
    (5.25)
    5.3%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati - DC United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Cincinnati (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cincinnati will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • DC United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, DC United has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury)
    • There will not play in DC United: Benteke C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Badji D. (Thigh Injury) Hopkins J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - DC United were as follows:
    12.04.2025 DC United - Cincinnati 0:1
    03.07.2024 DC United - Cincinnati 2:3
    10.03.2024 Cincinnati - DC United 0:0
    24.06.2023 DC United - Cincinnati 3:0
    06.05.2023 Cincinnati - DC United 2:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    28.05.2025 Cincinnati - FC Dallas 3:3
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1
    Latest results of DC United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

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