Result
3:2
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 32
- Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (456/549) | 75% (265/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (456/549) | 75% (265/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (16/62) | 32% (17/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (76/119) | 55% (42/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.54 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.79 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, van der Heide A. ⚽, Besselink R. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Hilterman J. ⚽, Pauwels B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 1, Balk R. ⚽, Pauwels B. (A),
- 65', Hilterman J. ↓, Rolke T. ↑,
- 67', Cooper-Love J. ↓, Seuntjens R. ↑,
- 67', Najah A. ↓, Warmerdam D. ↑,
- 67', Marcal-Madivadua W. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
- 67', Fortes J. ↓, Saarinen S. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Niemeijer R. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
- 79', Galvez T. ↓, Poll T. ↑,
- 79', Nartey M. ↓, Kieftenbeld M. ↑,
- 80', Niemeijer R. 🟨,
- 84', Diemers M. ↓, de Leeuw M. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, de Leeuw M. ⚽,
- 84', Ottesen S. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 86', Schoppema L. ↓, van de Haar J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambuur
58.1% | Draw
22.6% | De Graafschap
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambuur's performance.De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and De Graafschap might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-16.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambuur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that De Graafschap could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cambuur - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(2.38) |
4.15 ↑
(3.56) |
4.81 ↑
(2.73) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cambuur - De Graafschap?
Users Predictions:
Cambuur will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 3.
- Cambuur is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- De Graafschap is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- De Graafschap could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Cambuur is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cambuur: Diemers M.
(Yellow Cards)
Schaapman M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in De Graafschap: Wevers S.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 31:34 (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cambuur won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against De Graafschap?
Cambuur has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Cambuur?
De Graafschap has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - De Graafschap were as follows:
13.12.2024
De Graafschap
-
Cambuur
0:2
08.03.2024
Cambuur
-
De Graafschap
1:2
08.12.2023
De Graafschap
-
Cambuur
2:3
Latest results of Cambuur
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jong PSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Eindhoven FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Roda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Den Haag | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Helmond | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Oss | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Almere City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Jong Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Venlo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Willem II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 | FC Emmen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
