Cambuur vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Cambuur - De Graafschap
Result
3:2
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 32
  • Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.71
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
83% (456/549)75% (265/351)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.230.21
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
1615
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
133
Passes
83% (456/549)75% (265/351)
Long passes
26% (16/62)32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
64% (76/119)55% (42/77)
Crosses
10% (1/10)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.54
Fouls
313
Tackles
33% (5/15)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5243
Clearances Total
1522
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.212.23
Goals prevented
-1.79-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, van der Heide A. , Besselink R. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Hilterman J. , Pauwels B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 1, Balk R. , Pauwels B. (A),
  • 65', Hilterman J. , Rolke T. ,
  • 67', Cooper-Love J. , Seuntjens R. ,
  • 67', Najah A. , Warmerdam D. ,
  • 67', Marcal-Madivadua W. , El Kadiri I. ,
  • 67', Fortes J. , Saarinen S. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Niemeijer R. , El Kadiri I. (A),
  • 79', Galvez T. , Poll T. ,
  • 79', Nartey M. , Kieftenbeld M. ,
  • 80', Niemeijer R. 🟨,
  • 84', Diemers M. , de Leeuw M. ,
  • 84', 3 - 2, de Leeuw M. ,
  • 84', Ottesen S. , Casas A. ,
  • 86', Schoppema L. , van de Haar J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambuur
58.1%
Draw
22.6%
De Graafschap
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26.3% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 27.5% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambuur's performance.
  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and De Graafschap might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambuur that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that De Graafschap could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cambuur - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (2.38)
    4.15
    (3.56)
    4.81
    (2.73)
    6.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cambuur - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: Cambuur will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 3.
    • Cambuur is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • De Graafschap is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • De Graafschap could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Cambuur is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cambuur: Diemers M. (Yellow Cards) Schaapman M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in De Graafschap: Wevers S. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 31:34 (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cambuur won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - De Graafschap were as follows:
    13.12.2024 De Graafschap - Cambuur 0:2
    08.03.2024 Cambuur - De Graafschap 1:2
    08.12.2023 De Graafschap - Cambuur 2:3
    Latest results of Cambuur
    15.03.2025 Volendam - Cambuur 4:1
    10.03.2025 Cambuur - Dordrecht 1:0
    07.03.2025 Den Bosch - Cambuur 0:2
    28.02.2025 Cambuur - VVV-Venlo 5:0
    24.02.2025 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1De Graafschap00000:000
    2Venlo00000:000
    3Cambuur00000:000
    4Den Bosch00000:000
    5Dordrecht00000:000
    6Eindhoven FC00000:000
    7FC Emmen00000:000
    8Helmond00000:000
    9Maastricht00000:000
    10Almere City00000:000
    11Oss00000:000
    12Waalwijk00000:000
    13Roda00000:000
    14Vitesse00000:000
    15Willem II00000:000
    16Den Haag00000:000
    17Jong PSV00000:000
    18Jong Ajax00000:000
    19Jong AZ00000:000
    20Jong Utrecht00000:000

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )