Result
3:2
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 32
- Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 0.71 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
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14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Passes |
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83% (456/549) | 75% (265/351) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 0.71 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.23 | 0.21 |
Total shots |
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14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
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16 | 15 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 3 |
Passes |
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83% (456/549) | 75% (265/351) |
Long passes |
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26% (16/62) | 32% (17/53) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (76/119) | 55% (42/77) |
Crosses |
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10% (1/10) | 28% (5/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.54 | 0.54 |
Fouls |
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3 | 13 |
Tackles |
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33% (5/15) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
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52 | 43 |
Clearances Total |
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15 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.21 | 2.23 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.79 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, van der Heide A. ⚽, Besselink R. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Hilterman J. ⚽, Pauwels B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 1, Balk R. ⚽, Pauwels B. (A),
- 65', Hilterman J. ↓, Rolke T. ↑,
- 67', Cooper-Love J. ↓, Seuntjens R. ↑,
- 67', Najah A. ↓, Warmerdam D. ↑,
- 67', Marcal-Madivadua W. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
- 67', Fortes J. ↓, Saarinen S. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Niemeijer R. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
- 79', Galvez T. ↓, Poll T. ↑,
- 79', Nartey M. ↓, Kieftenbeld M. ↑,
- 80', Niemeijer R. 🟨,
- 84', Diemers M. ↓, de Leeuw M. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, de Leeuw M. ⚽,
- 84', Ottesen S. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 86', Schoppema L. ↓, van de Haar J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambuur 58.1% | Draw 22.6% | De Graafschap 19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambuur's performance.De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and De Graafschap might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-16.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambuur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that De Graafschap could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cambuur - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (2.38) |
4.15 ↑ (3.56) |
4.81 ↑ (2.73) |
6.7% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cambuur - De Graafschap?
Users Predictions:
Cambuur will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 3.
- Cambuur is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- De Graafschap is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- De Graafschap could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Cambuur is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cambuur: Diemers M.
(Yellow Cards)
Schaapman M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in De Graafschap: Wevers S.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 31:34 (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cambuur won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against De Graafschap?
Cambuur has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Cambuur?
De Graafschap has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - De Graafschap were as follows:
13.12.2024
De Graafschap
-
Cambuur
0:2
08.03.2024
Cambuur
-
De Graafschap
1:2
08.12.2023
De Graafschap
-
Cambuur
2:3
Latest results of Cambuur
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Eindhoven FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | FC Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Helmond | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Oss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Jong PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )