Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 8
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (224/312) | 82% (389/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (224/312) | 82% (389/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 51% (38/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (76/120) | 75% (119/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Boersma B. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', van Asten R. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
- 59', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
- 59', Meerstadt J. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 60', Carrillo S. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
- 60', Venema N. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 60', Pynadath J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
- 69', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 69', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
- 71', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Valk S. ⚽, Vetkal M. (A),
- 82', van der Sluijs J. 🟨,
- 83', El Kadiri I. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
- 84', de Jong F. 🟨,
- 85', Eduardo Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', Valk S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dordrecht
24.9% | Draw
26.6% | De Graafschap
48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+17.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dordrecht - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.46 ↑
(2.08) |
3.93 ↑
(3.9) |
2.08 ↓
(2.88) |
-4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - De Graafschap?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Dordrecht (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 2 - 50%). De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2.
- In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- De Graafschap is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dordrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
Woudenberg L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against De Graafschap?
Dordrecht has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Dordrecht?
De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - De Graafschap were as follows:
17.05.2025
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:0
13.05.2025
De Graafschap
-
Dordrecht
0:0
31.01.2025
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
1:1
01.11.2024
De Graafschap
-
Dordrecht
4:1
05.04.2024
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:1
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
