Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        26/09/2025 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Eerste Divisie - Round 8
 
                                                - Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.49 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 40% | 60% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 23 | 20 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (224/312) | 82% (389/476) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.49 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.41 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 23 | 20 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 9 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 16 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 9 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 42 | 31 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (224/312) | 82% (389/476) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 51% (38/74) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 63% (76/120) | 75% (119/158) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 12% (3/26) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.99 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 21 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (9/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 39 | 37 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 28 | 45 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 10 | 9 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.31 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.31 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 41', 0 - 1, Boersma B. ⚽, Simons J. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', van Asten R. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑, 
 - 59', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑, 
 - 59', Meerstadt J. ↓, de Jong F. ↑, 
 - 60', Carrillo S. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑, 
 - 60', Venema N. ↓, Rossi N. ↑, 
 - 60', Pynadath J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑, 
 - 69', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑, 
 - 69', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑, 
 - 71', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑, 
 - 78', 1 - 1, Valk S. ⚽, Vetkal M. (A), 
 - 82', van der Sluijs J. 🟨, 
 - 83', El Kadiri I. ↓, Rijks M. ↑, 
 - 84', de Jong F. 🟨, 
 - 85', Eduardo Y. 🟨, 
 - 90+1', Valk S. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Dordrecht  24.9% | Draw  26.6% | De Graafschap  48.5% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Dordrecht - De Graafschap Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   4.46 ↑ (2.08) | 
			   3.93 ↑ (3.9) | 
			   2.08 ↓ (2.88) | 
			   -4% (8.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Dordrecht - De Graafschap?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            11 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1% – 83.9%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 13).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2.
 - In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - De Graafschap is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
 - Dordrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
 - There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
 - There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
Woudenberg L.
(Injury)
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against De Graafschap?
                    
                    
                        
                            Dordrecht has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Dordrecht?
                    
                    
                        
                             De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - De Graafschap were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.05.2025 
                                Dordrecht 
                                - 
                                De Graafschap 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.05.2025 
                                De Graafschap 
                                - 
                                Dordrecht 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                31.01.2025 
                                Dordrecht 
                                - 
                                De Graafschap 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.11.2024 
                                De Graafschap 
                                - 
                                Dordrecht 
                                4:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.04.2024 
                                Dordrecht 
                                - 
                                De Graafschap 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Dordrecht                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of De Graafschap                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Den Haag | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 39:11 | 28 | 37 | 
| 2 | Cambuur | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 30:18 | 12 | 30 | 
| 3 | Roda | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 26 | 
| 4 | Jong PSV | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 24 | 
| 5 | Waalwijk | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:22 | 4 | 22 | 
| 6 | Willem II | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:23 | -5 | 21 | 
| 7 | Den Bosch | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 20 | 
| 8 | De Graafschap | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 19 | 
| 9 | Helmond | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 | 
| 10 | Dordrecht | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 | 
| 11 | Venlo | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 | 
| 12 | FC Emmen | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 | 
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 16 | 
| 14 | Maastricht | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 | 
| 15 | Almere City | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 14 | 
| 16 | Jong AZ | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 14 | 
| 17 | Oss | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18:27 | -9 | 14 | 
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11:27 | -16 | 14 | 
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 20:30 | -10 | 8 | 
| 20 | Vitesse | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 6 | 
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )