Dordrecht vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht).

Eerste Divisie - Round 8
Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	1.49
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
23	20
Shots on target
6	8
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
72% (224/312)	82% (389/476)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	1.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.31	2.41
Total shots
23	20
Shots on target
6	8
Shots off target
9	7
Blocked Shots
8	5
Shots inside the Box
16	11
Shots outside the Box
7	9
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
42	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
7	10
Passes
72% (224/312)	82% (389/476)
Long passes
44% (30/68)	51% (38/74)
Passes in final third
63% (76/120)	75% (119/158)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.99
Throw-ins
21	17
Fouls
10	7
Tackles
54% (7/13)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
39	37
Clearances
28	45
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	6
xGOT faced
2.41	1.31
Goals prevented
1.41	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Boersma B. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', van Asten R. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
59', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
59', Meerstadt J. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
60', Carrillo S. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
60', Venema N. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
60', Pynadath J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
69', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
69', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
71', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Valk S. ⚽, Vetkal M. (A),
82', van der Sluijs J. 🟨,
83', El Kadiri I. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
84', de Jong F. 🟨,
85', Eduardo Y. 🟨,
90+1', Valk S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Dordrecht
24.9%

Draw
26.6%

De Graafschap
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

23.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

22.7%

33.3%

Dordrecht - De Graafschap Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (2.08)	3.93 ↑ (3.9)	2.08 ↓ (2.88)	-4% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Dordrecht - De Graafschap?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Dordrecht (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 2 - 50%). De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2.
In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
De Graafschap is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dordrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury) Woudenberg L. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against De Graafschap?

Dordrecht has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Dordrecht?

De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - De Graafschap were as follows:

17.05.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 2:0

13.05.2025 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 0:0

31.01.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 1:1

01.11.2024 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 4:1

05.04.2024 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 2:1

Latest results of Dordrecht

19.09.2025 Emmen - Dordrecht 2:0 ✺

15.09.2025 Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Den Bosch - Dordrecht 3:3 ✺

29.08.2025 FC Oss - Dordrecht 0:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Dordrecht - Jong PSV 1:2 ✺

Latest results of De Graafschap

22.09.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 1:3 ✺

12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1 ✺

05.09.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 2:3 ✺

22.08.2025 De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht 0:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Roda - De Graafschap 1:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	24	17	2	5	59:29	30	53
2	Cambuur	23	15	5	3	50:26	24	50
3	Jong PSV	24	12	4	8	51:46	5	40
4	Almere City	25	12	3	10	53:41	12	39
5	Roda	25	10	9	6	43:37	6	39
6	De Graafschap	25	11	6	8	45:40	5	39
7	Waalwijk	25	10	7	8	42:38	4	37
8	Willem II	24	10	6	8	32:33	-1	36
9	Dordrecht	25	9	7	9	35:35	0	34
10	Den Bosch	25	10	4	11	45:46	-1	34
11	Jong Utrecht	25	8	8	9	44:46	-2	32
12	Venlo	25	10	2	13	34:39	-5	32
13	Eindhoven FC	24	9	4	11	35:44	-9	31
14	FC Emmen	23	8	5	10	40:44	-4	29
15	Maastricht	25	7	6	12	30:49	-19	27
16	Oss	24	6	8	10	32:40	-8	26
17	Jong AZ	25	8	2	15	43:51	-8	26
18	Helmond	25	7	5	13	31:45	-14	26
19	Vitesse	25	8	8	9	37:39	-2	20
20	Jong Ajax	24	4	7	13	33:46	-13	19

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )