De Graafschap vs FC Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Vijverberg (Doetinchem).

Eerste Divisie - Round 18
Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.61
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
13	30
Shots on target
6	9
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
6	14
Passes
77% (312/403)	78% (283/362)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.94	1.21
Total shots
13	30
Shots on target
6	9
Shots off target
5	12
Blocked Shots
2	9
Shots inside the Box
4	16
Shots outside the Box
9	14
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
6	14
Touches in opposition box
20	38
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	5
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
77% (312/403)	78% (283/362)
Long passes
48% (28/58)	57% (40/70)
Passes in final third
68% (65/95)	70% (89/128)
Crosses
6% (1/16)	23% (10/43)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	1.33
Throw-ins
21	26
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
60% (9/15)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
42	43
Clearances
52	30
Interceptions
10	19
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
9	4
xGOT faced
1.21	1.94
Goals prevented
1.21	-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Boersma B. ⚽, Raterink O. (A),
23', Deenen H. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
31', 2 - 0, El Kadiri I. ⚽, Niemeijer R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Raterink O. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
57', Simons T. 🟨,
58', van der Heide A. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
58', Braem T. ↓, Eijken D. ↑,
58', Smits M. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
65', Janga R. ↓, van Veen K. ↑,
67', Schoppema L. 🟨,
76', Simons J. 🟨,
78', Huisman D. ↓, Blummel S. ↑,
78', Muller T. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
78', Essers C. ↓, van de Wetering M. ↑,
85', El Kadiri I. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,

Chances of winning

De Graafschap
69.5%

Draw
17.9%

FC Eindhoven
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

19.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	5.3 ↑ (4.7)	7.23 ↑ (6.01)	6.3% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 9 - 75%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - De Graafschap (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): De Graafschap will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of away games.
In this match, De Graafschap is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in De Graafschap: Gijselhart T. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against FC Eindhoven?

De Graafschap has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has FC Eindhoven won against De Graafschap?

FC Eindhoven has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven were as follows:

11.04.2025 FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap 1:0

06.09.2024 De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven 2:0

19.01.2024 FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap 0:1

27.10.2023 De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven 2:1

24.02.2023 FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap 0:4

Latest results of De Graafschap

25.11.2025 ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap 3:2 ✺

21.11.2025 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Waalwijk - De Graafschap 1:4 ✺

31.10.2025 Den Bosch - De Graafschap 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 GVVV - De Graafschap 4:2 ✺

Latest results of FC Eindhoven

21.11.2025 Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven 1:3 ✺

15.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Cambuur 3:3 ✺

07.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch 1:3 ✺

03.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven 0:2 ✺

29.10.2025 HSV Hoek - FC Eindhoven 3:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	32	24	2	6	72:31	41	74
2	Cambuur	31	21	7	3	63:33	30	70
3	De Graafschap	31	15	7	9	58:49	9	52
4	Willem II	31	14	8	9	45:38	7	50
5	Jong PSV	32	15	5	12	62:56	6	50
6	Almere City	32	15	4	13	66:53	13	49
7	Waalwijk	32	13	9	10	54:47	7	48
8	Roda	32	12	11	9	50:47	3	47
9	Dordrecht	32	11	10	11	43:43	0	43
10	Den Bosch	32	12	7	13	55:57	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	31	12	4	15	45:55	-10	40
12	Venlo	32	11	4	17	39:49	-10	37
13	FC Emmen	30	10	6	14	46:54	-8	36
14	Jong Utrecht	32	9	9	14	48:54	-6	36
15	Maastricht	32	9	9	14	39:61	-22	36
16	Vitesse	32	12	9	11	49:49	0	33
17	Helmond	32	9	6	17	37:56	-19	33
18	Jong Ajax	32	8	8	16	45:57	-12	32
19	Jong AZ	32	9	4	19	53:63	-10	31
20	Oss	32	6	11	15	39:56	-17	29

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie