Result
2:5
16/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 2.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (341/407) | 83% (318/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 2.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 3.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (341/407) | 83% (318/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (18/35) | 53% (35/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (94/131) | 68% (51/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/39) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.36 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.64 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Pereyra E. ⚽, Botta R. (A),
- 45', 0 - 2, Gutierrez J. ⚽, Martinez D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', De Ritis M. ↓, Rodriguez Pagano T. ↑,
- 49', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 63', Vietto L. ↓, Auzmendi R. ↑,
- 63', Gulli F. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 3, Molinas A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', 1 - 3, Auzmendi R. ⚽,
- 67', Ladstatter A. 🟥,
- 68', Romana J. 🟨,
- 70', Pereyra E. ↓, Lucero S. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez D. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 70', Botta R. ↓, Altamira F. ↑,
- 74', Lucero S. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 4, Hausch A. ⚽,
- 78', Tripichio N. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
- 83', Cuello A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Hausch A. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 4, Auzmendi R. ⚽, Cuello A. (A),
- 90', Perruzzi I. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 90', Gutierrez J. ↓, Coria A. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 5, Barbona D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
41.9% | Draw
34.3% | Defensa y Justicia
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.15) |
2.75 ↓
(3.01) |
3.95 ↑
(3.82) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Defensa y Justicia (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of home games.
- San Lorenzo could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Defensa y Justicia?
San Lorenzo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against San Lorenzo?
Defensa y Justicia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
21.09.2024
Defensa y Justicia
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
06.04.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:2
23.11.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
San Lorenzo
1:0
12.11.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
San Lorenzo
0:1
08.05.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:0
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Independiente | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Banfield | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
