Result
3:1
15/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 16
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (172/262) | 49% (97/199) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (172/262) | 49% (97/199) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (36/76) | 36% (27/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (49/92) | 40% (36/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Cuero Q. C. A. ⚽, Mendoza E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Penilla C. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 46', Simisterra R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 46', Miranda B. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
- 46', Medina O. ↓, Parales J. ↑,
- 51', Mendoza E. 🟨,
- 56', Olmedo M. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 64', Parales J. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Orejuela C. (Pen),
- 66', Vega E. 🟨,
- 71', Arce L. 🟨,
- 76', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
- 81', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
- 82', Levato M. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 82', Cuello B. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 83', Orejuela C. ↓, Haquin L. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Mendoza E. ⚽,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Batalla H. ⚽, Mendoza E. (A),
Chances of winning
Delfín
44.8% | Draw
29% | Mushuc Runa
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Delfín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Delfín - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.86) |
3.16 ↓
(3.2) |
3.55 ↓
(4.26) |
8.5%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Delfín - Mushuc Runa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Delfín (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Delfín will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 2.
- Delfín is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mushuc Runa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Delfín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Mushuc Runa?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Delfín?
Mushuc Runa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
17.02.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Delfín
2:0
08.11.2024
Delfín
-
Mushuc Runa
4:2
19.05.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Delfín
5:0
16.09.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Delfín
2:0
16.04.2023
Delfín
-
Mushuc Runa
3:0
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
