Result
0:1
22/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 10
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (218/303) | 78% (339/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (218/303) | 78% (339/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/66) | 51% (40/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (32/68) | 61% (68/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Cavallaro J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Viacava J. ↓, Carabajal M. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Lerma J. ⚽, Reasco D. (A),
- 52', Castro L. 🟨,
- 56', Castro L. ↓, Molinas I. A. ↑,
- 62', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 62', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 64', Cavallaro J. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 64', Morocho J. ↓, Yepez E. ↑,
- 70', Yepez E. 🟨,
- 78', Lerma J. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 86', Castillo Saa J. L. ↓, Ozaeta T. ↑,
- 87', Ochoa Y. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Delfín
29% | Draw
31% | Independiente del Valle
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente del Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Delfín - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↓
(4.43) |
3.03 ↓
(3.53) |
2.33 ↑
(1.78) |
7.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Delfín - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Delfín (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1 - Delfín (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Delfín (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Delfín (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Delfín (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Delfín (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Delfín (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Delfín (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Delfín (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Delfín (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 2.
- In recent matches, Delfín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ind del Valle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Independiente del Valle?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Delfín?
Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
28.09.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Delfín
0:0
31.05.2025
Delfín
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
03.08.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Delfín
1:2
01.03.2024
Delfín
-
Independiente del Valle
0:1
01.09.2023
Delfín
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
