Nacional Montevideo vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
brazilBrazilParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, Win Sports
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
greeceGreeceERT 2
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
48.9%
Draw
29%
Deportes Tolima
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 27.5% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 31.5% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.84)
    3.25
    (3.42)
    4.26
    (4.42)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Tolima?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Deportes Tolima has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Nacional is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)