Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/05/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Deportes Tolima
42.8%
Draw
29.7%
Nacional Montevideo
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 29.4% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 28.9% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Deportes Tolima - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.08)
    3.18
    (3.19)
    3.44
    (3.67)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Deportes Tolima could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Tolima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    14.04.2026 Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Tolima 3:1
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors42025:326
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC41032:6-43


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras42206:338
    2Sporting Cristal42024:406
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus42022:5-36
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready41034:403


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central43105:0510
    2Ind. del Valle42116:517
    3Universidad Central42026:7-16
    4Libertad Asuncion40043:8-50

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