Result
2:0
23/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (238/298) | 83% (367/444) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (238/298) | 83% (367/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (35/57) | 46% (31/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/103) | 66% (56/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 90% (18/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Ricardo E. 🟨,
- 35', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Silva D. ⚽, Viveros S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 2 - 0, Castro L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Nieto J. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
- 60', Gonzalez J. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
- 60', Ricardo E. ↓, Rovira B. ↑,
- 65', Pedrozo D. 🟨,
- 66', Silva D. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 68', Valencia E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 75', Arias J. ↓, Moreno Paz A. F. ↑,
- 75', Viveros S. ↓, Elizalde E. ↑,
- 77', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Santiago J. ↑,
- 83', De Amores G. 🟨,
- 84', Elizalde E. 🟨,
- 84', Valencia S. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 84', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 85', Garcia M. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 87', Urena R. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2rvhd5f3
Chances of winning
Millonarios
57.4% | Draw
25.3% | Deportes Tolima
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millonarios's performance.Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millonarios that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Millonarios - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.9) |
3.69 ↑
(3.46) |
5.36 ↑
(3.9) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Millonarios will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 3.
- Millonarios is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportes Tolima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Deportes Tolima?
Millonarios has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Millonarios?
Deportes Tolima has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
17.08.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Millonarios
3:1
02.03.2025
Millonarios
-
Deportes Tolima
2:0
02.08.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportes Tolima
1:0
03.02.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Millonarios
2:0
07.08.2023
Millonarios
-
Deportes Tolima
1:0
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
