Result
1:0
25/07/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (414/484) | 82% (263/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (414/484) | 82% (263/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 61% (38/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (105/136) | 66% (50/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Juan Quintero 🟥,
- 19', Quinones Y. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
- 21', Rios J. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Rovira B. ⚽, Valencia E. (A),
- 26', Rovira B. 🟥,
- 28', Fuentes J. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 29', Trujillo C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez M. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 46', Quinones J. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 46', Valencia E. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
- 58', Largacha J. ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
- 64', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
- 67', Rios J. 🟨,
- 75', Quintero D. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
- 75', Ararat J. ↓, Pacheco W. ↑,
- 75', Merheg S. J. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 79', Trujillo C. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
- 84', Velasquez S. 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3apvbz6p
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
45.8% | Draw
29.8% | Deportivo Pereira
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pereira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.01) |
3.41 ↑
(3.15) |
4.24 ↑
(3.88) |
0.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pereira?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
- Recent performances by Deportes Tolima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pereira is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportes Tolima could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo Pereira?
Deportes Tolima has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Pereira has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pereira were as follows:
14.02.2025
Deportivo Pereira
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
07.10.2024
Deportivo Pereira
-
Deportes Tolima
1:0
23.03.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Pereira
2:1
06.09.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Pereira
2:3
05.03.2023
Deportivo Pereira
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:12 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Alianza | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
