Result
Postponed
05/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America |
Chances of winning
Deportivo Achuapa
53.7% | Draw
27.1% | Marquense
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Achuapa's performance.Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Achuapa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Achuapa - Marquense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.91) |
3.37 ↑
(3.19) |
4.76 ↑
(3.75) |
9.6%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 11)
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Marquense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Achuapa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Achuapa is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Achuapa won against Marquense?
Deportivo Achuapa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marquense won against Deportivo Achuapa?
Marquense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Achuapa - Marquense were as follows:
26.07.2025
Marquense
-
Deportivo Achuapa
0:0
16.04.2025
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Marquense
1:0
13.02.2025
Marquense
-
Deportivo Achuapa
2:1
10.11.2024
Marquense
-
Deportivo Achuapa
0:0
25.08.2024
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Marquense
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Achuapa
Latest results of Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Municipal | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Antigua | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Aurora F.C | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Mictlan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Malacateco | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo Achuapa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Marquense | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Guastatoya | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:26 | -15 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
