Result
0:1
13/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (345/419) | 74% (213/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (345/419) | 74% (213/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (46/72) | 41% (21/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (95/133) | 63% (59/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 2.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Salazar A. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 16', Flores C. 🟨,
- 44', Tizon C. 🟨,
- 45+5', Gomez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Acasiete S. 🟨,
- 62', Villar E. 🟨,
- 64', Villar E. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 71', Naya E. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 75', Ramirez C. ↓, Affonso M. ↑,
- 80', Moreno X. 🟨,
- 81', Sandoval K. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 81', Gomez N. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 1, Erustes P. ⚽, Sinisterra J. (A),
- 89', Agurto F. ↓, Canova J. ↑,
- 89', Rojas A. ↓, Aliaga R. ↑,
- 90+4', Canova J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juan Pablo II College
45.7% | Draw
28.8% | Deportivo Garcilaso
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Juan Pablo II College - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.22) |
3.21 ↓
(3.28) |
3.67 ↑
(3.1) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juan Pablo II: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Juan Pablo II (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Juan Pablo II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F.
(Broken collarbone)
- There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez F.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Juan Pablo II College has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Juan Pablo II College?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
25.05.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Juan Pablo II College
4:0
Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
