Result
1:0
23/07/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.21 | 2.33 |
Ball Possession |
---|
26% | 74% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
68% (133/195) | 90% (480/536) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.21 | 2.33 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.48 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
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5 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
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0 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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2 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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0 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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8 | 38 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 10 |
Passes |
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68% (133/195) | 90% (480/536) |
Long passes |
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32% (15/47) | 72% (36/50) |
Passes in final third |
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59% (30/51) | 82% (150/184) |
Crosses |
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33% (2/6) | 25% (8/32) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.18 | 0.98 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 27 |
Fouls |
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10 | 13 |
Tackles |
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62% (13/21) | 89% (16/18) |
Duels won |
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48 | 38 |
Clearances |
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37 | 10 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.84 | 0.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.84 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Ruiz D. (Pen),
- 8', Ruiz D. 🟨,
- 15', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 🟨,
- 21', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
- 45', Rodas M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bolivar J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
- 46', Castilla J. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
- 62', Ramirez J. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 62', Vega S. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 62', Mayo S. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
- 64', Llinas A. 🟨,
- 71', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
- 72', Beltran E. 🟨,
- 76', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 76', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 76', Mosquera E. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 78', Montano B. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 0, Monaco M. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
- 85', Palacios H. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
- 86', Giordana S. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5e78zryb
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Equidad 22% | Draw 28.9% | Millonarios 49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.23 ↑ (3.32) |
3.22 ↓ (3.31) |
1.92 ↓ (2.13) |
6.9% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2.
- La Equidad has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Millonarios has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Millonarios?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Millonarios has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios were as follows:
08.02.2025
Millonarios
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:1
15.09.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Millonarios
1:3
02.03.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:2
08.11.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Millonarios
2:1
17.05.2023
Millonarios
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )