Deportivo La Equidad vs Millonarios – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios
Result
1:0
23/07/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.212.33
Ball Possession
26%74%
Total shots
522
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
68% (133/195)90% (480/536)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.212.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.84
Total shots
522
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
215
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
838
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
68% (133/195)90% (480/536)
Long passes
32% (15/47)72% (36/50)
Passes in final third
59% (30/51)82% (150/184)
Crosses
33% (2/6)25% (8/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.180.98
Throw-ins
2527
Fouls
1013
Tackles
62% (13/21)89% (16/18)
Duels won
4838
Clearances
3710
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.840.48
Goals prevented
0.84-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Ruiz D. (Pen),
  • 8', Ruiz D. 🟨,
  • 15', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 🟨,
  • 21', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodas M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bolivar J. , Copete D. ,
  • 46', Castilla J. , Montano B. ,
  • 62', Ramirez J. , Castro A. ,
  • 62', Vega S. , Giordana S. ,
  • 62', Mayo S. , Monaco M. ,
  • 64', Llinas A. 🟨,
  • 71', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
  • 72', Beltran E. 🟨,
  • 76', Parra Atehortua K. , Valencia J. ,
  • 76', Micolta Piedahita J. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 76', Mosquera E. , Castro Espinosa B. D. ,
  • 78', Montano B. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Monaco M. , Valencia J. (A),
  • 85', Palacios H. , Mosquera S. ,
  • 86', Giordana S. 🟥,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5e78zryb

Chances of winning


Deportivo La Equidad
22%
Draw
28.9%
Millonarios
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 28.2% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 27.8% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.
  • Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.23
    (3.32)
    3.22
    (3.31)
    1.92
    (2.13)
    6.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios?
  • Users Predictions: Millonarios will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2.
    • La Equidad has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Millonarios has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Millonarios - Deportivo La Equidad 2:1
    15.09.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios 1:3
    02.03.2024 Millonarios - Deportivo La Equidad 1:2
    08.11.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios 2:1
    17.05.2023 Millonarios - Deportivo La Equidad 0:0
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

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