Result
1:0
23/07/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (133/195) | 90% (480/536) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (133/195) | 90% (480/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (15/47) | 72% (36/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 82% (150/184) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 25% (8/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Ruiz D. (Pen),
- 8', Ruiz D. 🟨,
- 15', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 🟨,
- 21', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
- 45', Rodas M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bolivar J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
- 46', Castilla J. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
- 62', Ramirez J. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 62', Vega S. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 62', Mayo S. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
- 64', Llinas A. 🟨,
- 71', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
- 72', Beltran E. 🟨,
- 76', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 76', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 76', Mosquera E. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 78', Montano B. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 0, Monaco M. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
- 85', Palacios H. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
- 86', Giordana S. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5e78zryb
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Equidad
22% | Draw
28.9% | Millonarios
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.23 ↑
(3.32) |
3.22 ↓
(3.31) |
1.92 ↓
(2.13) |
6.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2.
- La Equidad has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Millonarios has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Millonarios?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Millonarios has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios were as follows:
08.02.2025
Millonarios
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:1
15.09.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Millonarios
1:3
02.03.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:2
08.11.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Millonarios
2:1
17.05.2023
Millonarios
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
