Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.42	0.61
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	2
Passes
79% (290/366)	75% (234/312)
Yellow cards
2	4
Red cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.42	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.34	1.45
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
1	6
Blocked shots
2	0
Shots inside the box
4	3
Shots outside the box
2	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
10	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
11	19
Passes
79% (290/366)	75% (234/312)
Long passes
39% (20/51)	34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
67% (60/89)	56% (45/81)
Crosses
14% (3/22)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.42
Throw ins
27	19
Fouls
19	11
Tackles
67% (4/6)	86% (6/7)
Duels won
33	43
Clearances
20	27
Interceptions
4	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.45	0.34
Goals prevented
-0.55	-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Velasquez J. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Pico L. (A),
21', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
23', Perlaza J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Garavito M. ⚽, Jimenez M. S. (A),
34', Ramirez D. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
42', Cordoba S. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Velasquez J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
57', Perlaza J. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
66', Balanta J. 🟨,
79', Garavito M. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
79', Goez Y. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
81', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
81', Herrera J. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Chavez D. ⚽, Pisano M. (A),
90+2', Jimenez M. S. 🟥,
90+5', Morelo W. 🟨,
90+5', Morelo W. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fortaleza CEIF
43%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Pasto
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)	3.04 ↓ (3.18)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	7.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto?

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Deportivo Pasto (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
Fortaleza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Pasto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportivo Pasto?

Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Fortaleza CEIF?

Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:

24.10.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto 2:0

04.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0

14.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto 0:0

04.03.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0

Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF

19.03.2026 Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF 2:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1 ✺

04.03.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba 2:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

18.03.2026 Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó 2:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto 4:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali 2:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo 3:2 ✺

20.02.2026 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto 2:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	15	11	1	3	30:11	19	34
2	Dep. Pasto	15	8	4	3	21:17	4	28
3	Deportes Tolima	15	7	6	2	24:13	11	27
4	Once Caldas	15	6	7	2	26:19	7	25
5	Junior	15	8	1	6	21:20	1	25
6	America De Cali	15	7	3	5	19:12	7	24
7	Dep. Cali	15	6	4	5	17:13	4	22
8	Aguilas	15	6	4	5	16:17	-1	22
9	Inter Bogotu00e1	15	5	7	3	18:20	-2	22
10	Millonarios	15	6	3	6	25:17	8	21
11	Llaneros	15	4	8	3	16:14	2	20
12	Bucaramanga	15	4	7	4	18:14	4	19
13	Santa Fe	15	4	7	4	18:19	-1	19
14	Ind. Medellin	14	4	5	5	19:19	0	17
15	Fortaleza	15	3	7	5	17:23	-6	16
16	Cucuta	16	3	6	7	21:27	-6	15
17	Alianza	15	3	6	6	10:22	-12	15
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	16	4	2	10	14:28	-14	14
19	Chico	14	3	2	9	11:21	-10	11
20	Pereira	15	0	6	9	14:29	-15	6

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )