Result
2:0
24/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (349/417) | 76% (260/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (349/417) | 76% (260/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 48% (37/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (58/91) | 50% (40/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Camacho D. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Jimenez M. S. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Camacho D. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 62', Caicedo J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 63', Puello S. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Florez K. (A),
- 69', Aristizabal E. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 78', Bone F. ↓, Villa F. ↑,
- 79', Pajaro R. 🟨,
- 82', Valois Y. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
- 84', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 84', Valencia S. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 88', Ricaurte A. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
- 88', Arroyo A. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 89', Florez K. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 90+2', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
57.7% | Draw
27.3% | Deportivo Pasto
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.66) |
3.43 ↑
(3.39) |
6.06 ↑
(5.3) |
6.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza CEIF will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortaleza CEIF will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 18).
- Fortaleza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo Pasto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportivo Pasto?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
04.05.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
14.09.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:0
04.03.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
