Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.70 | 0.89 |
Ball Possession |
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52% | 48% |
Total shots |
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13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 3 |
Passes |
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75% (269/359) | 75% (258/345) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 0.89 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.40 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
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13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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18 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 8 |
Passes |
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75% (269/359) | 75% (258/345) |
Long passes |
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47% (34/73) | 25% (12/48) |
Passes in final third |
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49% (49/101) | 61% (75/122) |
Crosses |
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30% (8/27) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.79 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 18 |
Fouls |
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8 | 10 |
Tackles |
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78% (14/18) | 83% (5/6) |
Duels won |
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43 | 26 |
Clearances |
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20 | 30 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.13 | 0.40 |
Goals prevented |
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0.13 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Alarcon A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Ruiz D. 🟨,
- 51', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 59', Torres G. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 59', Quinones D. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
- 59', Jaramillo F. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
- 68', Florez K. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 71', Castilla J. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
- 79', Camacho D. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 79', Pico L. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Carabali B. ⚽, Ritacco G. (A),
- 90', Ramiirez S. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ramiirez S. 🟥,
- 90+8', Rios J. ↓, Velasco E. ↑,
- 90+9', Cabezas V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto 46.8% | Draw 29.9% | Fortaleza CEIF 23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pasto's form might have worsened.Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (1.72) |
3.12 ↓ (3.4) |
3.94 ↓ (4.8) |
6.6% (8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportivo Pasto might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportivo Pasto has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportivo Pasto?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
14.09.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:0
04.03.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )