Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (269/359) | 75% (258/345) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (269/359) | 75% (258/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (34/73) | 25% (12/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (49/101) | 61% (75/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 26 |
| Clearances |
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| 20 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Alarcon A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Ruiz D. 🟨,
- 51', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 59', Torres G. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 59', Quinones D. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
- 59', Jaramillo F. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
- 68', Florez K. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 71', Castilla J. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
- 79', Camacho D. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 79', Pico L. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Carabali B. ⚽, Ritacco G. (A),
- 90', Ramiirez S. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ramiirez S. 🟥,
- 90+8', Rios J. ↓, Velasco E. ↑,
- 90+9', Cabezas V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
46.8% | Draw
29.9% | Fortaleza CEIF
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pasto's form might have worsened.Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.72) |
3.12 ↓
(3.4) |
3.94 ↓
(4.8) |
6.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportivo Pasto might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportivo Pasto has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportivo Pasto?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
14.09.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:0
04.03.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
