Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (457/527) | 81% (293/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (457/527) | 81% (293/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (54/77) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (99/142) | 62% (43/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Cardozo L. 🟨,
- 41', Dominguez F. 🟨,
- 41', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Guggiari G. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
- 46', Franco C. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Morel J. ⚽,
- 67', Dominguez C. 🟨,
- 68', Piris I. 🟨,
- 70', Baez W. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez L. ↓, Hernan Perez ↑,
- 72', Torres J. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
- 72', Gimenez G. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
- 79', Lopez M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 79', Nunez J. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 80', Morel J. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 0, Riveros B. ⚽, Dominguez C. (A),
- 87', Dominguez C. ↓, De Carvalho M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
63% | Draw
21.7% | Deportivo Recoleta
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Porteño's form might have worsened.Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.33) |
4.25 ↓
(4.75) |
6.09 ↓
(10) |
8%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 6).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Recoleta has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Cerro Porteño has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Cerro Porteño?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
26.07.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
28.04.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
15.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:1
18.09.2024
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
2:3
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 34:14 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | General Caballero JLM | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 19 |
| 8 | Olimpia Asuncion | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | Libertad Asuncion | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16:30 | -14 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
