Result
1:3
28/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/397) | 80% (309/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/397) | 80% (309/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 50% (23/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (62/92) | 65% (70/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.88 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Leon D. ⚽,
- 45+2', Viera W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 2, Marecos T. ⚽, Benitez A. (A),
- 56', Nunez J. 🟨,
- 66', Samudio M. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 66', Gayoso H. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Sandoval H. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
- 71', 1 - 3, Benitez A. ⚽,
- 73', Leon D. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
- 73', Marecos T. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 77', Perez M. 🟨,
- 78', Piris I. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 78', Ferreira B. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
- 80', Morel J. ↓, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↑,
- 80', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 85', Carrizo F. ↓, Avalos A. ↑,
- 86', Silva A. ↓, Hernan Perez ↑,
- 86', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,
- 89', Velazquez G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lopez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta
19.5% | Draw
30.4% | Cerro Porteño
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Porteño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.77 ↓
(5.14) |
3.07 ↓
(3.83) |
1.85 ↑
(1.59) |
7.7%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 4).
- Recoleta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recoleta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Cerro Porteño?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Cerro Porteño has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
15.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:1
18.09.2024
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
2:3
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Guarani | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 29 |
| 7 | Recoleta | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 27 |
| 8 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | General Caballero JLM | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 22 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
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Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
