Result
01/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
63% | Draw
22.6% | Deportivo Recoleta
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.45) |
4.09 ↓
(4.44) |
6.26 ↓
(6.4) |
7.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3)
- Cerro Porteño has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recoleta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Cerro Porteño has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Cerro Porteño?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
03.10.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:0
26.07.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
28.04.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
15.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:1
18.09.2024
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
2:3
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
