Result
1:0
10/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/406) | 69% (215/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/406) | 69% (215/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 41% (30/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (50/76) | 54% (86/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 59% (17/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Falcon J. 🟨,
- 21', Barreto Viera O. J. 🟨,
- 36', Cardozo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
- 46', Gamarra J. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
- 46', Cardozo F. ↓, Alfonzo A. ↑,
- 60', Cantero A. ↓, Bogado G. ↑,
- 60', Ferreira B. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 64', Falcon J. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
- 65', Leguizamon I. 🟨,
- 67', Ferreira S. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
- 77', Silva A. ↓, Noguera J. ↑,
- 77', Lopez M. ↓, Galeano F. ↑,
- 77', Baez W. ↓, Hernan Perez ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Vargas S. ⚽, Galeano F. (A),
- 81', Vargas S. 🟨,
- 87', Hernan Perez 🟨,
- 90+2', Galeano F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta
17.7% | Draw
23.5% | Olimpia Asuncion
58.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Recoleta's form might have worsened.Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.23 ↑
(3.71) |
3.97 ↑
(3.56) |
1.6 ↓
(1.93) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Olimpia Asuncion will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 8).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Recoleta has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Olimpia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
30.07.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:0
01.06.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
0:0
29.03.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
