Result
0:1
14/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (298/385) | 73% (254/348) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (298/385) | 73% (254/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (50/81) | 58% (76/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Vera J. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Alcaraz A. ⚽,
- 22', Baez W. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+3', Lezcano R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rios P. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
- 46', Gamarra M. ↓, Vargas G. ↑,
- 53', Delmas E. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 64', Alcaraz A. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
- 65', Quintana H. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
- 73', Espinola J. ↓, Garay C. ↑,
- 73', Parzajuk K. ↓, Vidal T. ↑,
- 73', Vidal T. 🟨,
- 78', Lezcano R. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
- 81', Vargas G. 🟨,
- 83', Garcia E. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 83', Figueredo C. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta
19.4% | Draw
25.7% | Olimpia Asuncion
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.83 ↑
(4.78) |
3.62 ↓
(3.64) |
1.7 ↑
(1.65) |
7.2%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In recent matches, Recoleta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olimpia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
10.10.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
30.07.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:0
01.06.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
0:0
29.03.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
