Olimpia Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta
Result
1:0
30/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.14
Ball Possession
79%21%
Total shots
233
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
90% (667/739)56% (110/198)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.150.20
Total shots
233
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
131
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
131
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
442
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
90% (667/739)56% (110/198)
Long passes
56% (19/34)27% (19/70)
Passes in final third
83% (189/229)36% (25/70)
Crosses
25% (13/51)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.11
Throw-ins
2113
Fouls
1214
Tackles
44% (4/9)91% (10/11)
Duels won
6139
Clearances
1646
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.201.15
Goals prevented
0.200.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Espinola J. 🟥,
  • 24', Cabera A. , Romero L. ,
  • 39', Paredes A. , Morinigo A. ,
  • 45+3', Lopez M. 🟥,
  • 45+8', Nunez J. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gonzalez L. , Vargas S. ,
  • 46', Bogado G. , Redes R. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez D. , Caballero Fleytas T. I. ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Caballero Fleytas T. I. , Alcaraz A. (A),
  • 59', Quintana H. , Ledesma A. ,
  • 67', Leguizamon I. , Benitez R. ,
  • 68', Ferreira B. , Hernan Perez ,
  • 68', Silva A. , Garay C. ,
  • 79', Coronel U. , Guggiari G. ,
  • 81', Ledesma A. 🟨,
  • 82', Ledesma A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cardozo F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olimpia Asuncion
58.2%
Draw
23.6%
Deportivo Recoleta
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 21.2% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 21.8% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.47)
    3.89
    (4.37)
    5.25
    (5.97)
    8.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Olimpia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 0:0
    29.03.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion 1:1
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno752013:6717
    2Guarani751115:51016
    3Sportivo Trinidense742112:7514
    4Sp. Luqueno741212:7513
    5Nacional Asuncion73318:4412
    6Libertad Asuncion732210:4611
    7Olimpia Asuncion722311:14-38
    82 de Mayo72238:11-38
    9Recoleta721412:15-37
    10General Caballero JLM72145:11-67
    11Ameliano71156:16-104
    12Atl. Tembetary70075:17-120

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