Result
2:0
24/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 51% (113/220) | 84% (400/479) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 51% (113/220) | 84% (400/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (25/84) | 49% (32/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (45/101) | 70% (110/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 14% (4/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Ramirez P. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Bracamonte M. ⚽,
- 18', Perez Curci M. 🟨,
- 41', Randazzo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Goitia J. 🟨,
- 63', Marcone I. 🟨,
- 66', Montiel S. ↓, Tempone F. ↑,
- 66', Perez Curci M. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
- 68', Bracamonte M. ↓, Watson N. ↑,
- 68', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 68', Herrera J. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Ramirez P. ⚽,
- 83', Ramirez P. ↓, Sayavedra R. ↑,
- 83', Smarra M. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
- 85', Zabala F. 🟨,
- 85', Flores G. 🟨,
- 87', Abaldo M. ↓, Valdez F. ↑,
- 87', Zabala F. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 90+2', Alonso A. ↓, Stringa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Riestra
24.6% | Draw
34.1% | Independiente
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.82 ↑
(3.63) |
2.73 ↓
(2.91) |
2.28
(2.28) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Deportivo Riestra has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Independiente is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportivo Riestra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Independiente has had a series of home games.
- Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Bracamonte M.
(Injury)
Goitia J.
(Inactive)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Independiente: Bodnar S.
(Inactive)
Pussetto I.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Independiente?
Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Deportivo Riestra?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Independiente were as follows:
10.11.2025
Deportivo Riestra
-
Independiente
0:1
27.04.2025
Independiente
-
Deportivo Riestra
0:0
06.10.2024
Independiente
-
Deportivo Riestra
3:1
15.03.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
