Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Farmer A. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Reading U21
52.6%
Draw
22.2%
Derby County U21
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 24% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 24.6% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reading U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reading U21's performance.
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading U21 than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reading U21 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Reading U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.05)
    4.13
    (3.79)
    3.64
    (2.87)
    9.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 and 24).
    • Reading U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Derby U21 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Reading U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Derby U21 has had a series of home games.
    • Reading U21 might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reading U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reading U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Reading U21 - Derby County U21 0:1
    04.12.2023 Derby County U21 - Reading U21 5:1
    Latest results of Reading U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelsea U21 ✔ 20141552:252743
    2Manchester Utd U21 ✔ 20134343:261743
    3Fulham U21 ✔ 20115448:321638
    4Ipswich U21 ✔ 19122541:37438
    5Manchester City U21 ✔ 19121656:213537
    6Southampton U21 ✔ 20106436:29736
    7Liverpool U21 ✔ 20112749:361335
    8Tottenham U21 ✔ 19102740:32832
    9Brighton U21 ✔ 2086638:251330
    10West Ham U21 ✔ 2086644:35930
    11Arsenal U21 ✔ 1985628:31-329
    12Leicester U211984745:40528
    13Crystal Palace U211984734:31328
    14Sunderland U212084841:40128
    15Aston Villa U211984731:35-428
    16Middlesbrough U212076737:28927
    17Nottingham U2120821023:23026
    18Stoke City U211974829:41-1225
    19Newcastle Utd U211965829:34-523
    20Everton U211964925:32-722
    21Reading U211964925:35-1022
    22Wolves U211964929:44-1522
    23Norwich U211955932:39-720
    24Derby U211955925:40-1520
    25Leeds U2119531126:37-1118
    26West Brom U2120531226:41-1518
    27Birmingham U2120451126:52-2617
    28Blackburn U2119421327:44-1714
    29Burnley U2120341322:42-2013

          Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chelsea U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester Utd U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Fulham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ipswich U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester City U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Southampton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Liverpool U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tottenham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Brighton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    West Ham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Arsenal U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)