Cardiff City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.781.23
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
179
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
510
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
57
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
22
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
2329
Touches in the Opposition Box
2414
Passes
65% (192/297)66% (212/323)
Passes in the final third
52% (49/95)49% (49/101)
Crosses
25% (3/12)25% (6/24)
Tackles
53% (8/15)69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
2711
Interceptions
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+4', Chambers C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Willock C. , El Ghazi A. ,
  • 58', Blackett-Taylor C. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 59', Ng P. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Robinson C. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, El Ghazi A. , Robinson C. (A),
  • 67', Robertson A. , Salech Y. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Salvesen L. , Yates J. (A),
  • 75', Elder C. 🟨,
  • 77', Elder C. , Harness M. ,
  • 84', Robinson C. , Fish W. ,
  • 84', Ashford C. , Meite Y. ,
  • 86', Goudmijn K. , Ozoh D. ,
  • 86', Osborn B. , Jackson K. ,
  • 86', Yates J. , Barkhuizen T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
45.5%
Draw
30.2%
Derby County
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 28.3% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27.8% 28.7%

Cardiff City - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.11
(2.2)
3.17
(3.3)
3.93
(3.2)
4.4%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Derby will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 23.3%61.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3.
    • Cardiff is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cardiff will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Leg Injury) O'Dowda C. (Muscle Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Reindorf M. (Ankle Injury) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Nyambe R. (Knee Injury) Ozoh D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Wilson K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Derby County were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Derby County - Cardiff City 1:0
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry28177461:313058
    2Middlesbrough28157642:291352
    3Ipswich27148547:242350
    4Hull27145845:39647
    5Millwall28137832:35-346
    6Preston281110736:29743
    7Watford27119738:32642
    8Stoke281251133:25841
    9Wrexham281011740:35541
    10Derby28118938:36241
    11Bristol City281171038:31740
    12QPR281171038:39-140
    13Birmingham281081038:37138
    14Leicester281081039:41-238
    15Southampton28991040:40036
    16Swansea281061231:35-436
    17Sheffield Utd271021536:40-432
    18Charlton27881127:34-732
    19West Brom28941531:43-1231
    20Norwich28861435:40-530
    21Portsmouth26781123:36-1329
    22Blackburn27771325:36-1128
    23Oxford Utd27591325:35-1024
    24Sheffield Wed27181818:54-36-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One