Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 29
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (192/297) | 66% (212/323) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 52% (49/95) | 49% (49/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 25% (6/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+4', Chambers C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', Willock C. ↓, El Ghazi A. ↑,
- 58', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 59', Ng P. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 0, Robinson C. ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 0, El Ghazi A. ⚽, Robinson C. (A),
- 67', Robertson A. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Salvesen L. ⚽, Yates J. (A),
- 75', Elder C. 🟨,
- 77', Elder C. ↓, Harness M. ↑,
- 84', Robinson C. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
- 84', Ashford C. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
- 86', Goudmijn K. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
- 86', Osborn B. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 86', Yates J. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
45.5% | Draw
30.2% | Derby County
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Cardiff City - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.2) |
3.17 ↓
(3.3) |
3.93 ↑
(3.2) |
4.4%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Derby will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 23.3% – 61.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3.
- Cardiff is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Derby has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cardiff will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Leg Injury)
O'Dowda C.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Muscle Injury)
Reindorf M.
(Ankle Injury)
Turnbull D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Knee Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Wilson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Derby County?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Cardiff City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Derby County were as follows:
14.09.2024
Derby County
-
Cardiff City
1:0
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Stoke | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Leicester | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | West Brom | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Coventry | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | Swansea | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Preston | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Norwich | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | QPR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Southampton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 17 | Watford | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | Charlton | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Derby | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Hull | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 2 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
