Cardiff City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Cardiff City - Derby County
Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.781.23
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
179
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
510
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
57
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
22
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
2329
Touches in the Opposition Box
2414
Passes
65% (192/297)66% (212/323)
Passes in the final third
52% (49/95)49% (49/101)
Crosses
25% (3/12)25% (6/24)
Tackles
53% (8/15)69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
2711
Interceptions
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+4', Chambers C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Willock C. , El Ghazi A. ,
  • 58', Blackett-Taylor C. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 59', Ng P. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Robinson C. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, El Ghazi A. , Robinson C. (A),
  • 67', Robertson A. , Salech Y. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Salvesen L. , Yates J. (A),
  • 75', Elder C. 🟨,
  • 77', Elder C. , Harness M. ,
  • 84', Robinson C. , Fish W. ,
  • 84', Ashford C. , Meite Y. ,
  • 86', Goudmijn K. , Ozoh D. ,
  • 86', Osborn B. , Jackson K. ,
  • 86', Yates J. , Barkhuizen T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
45.5%
Draw
30.2%
Derby County
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 28.3% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27.8% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Cardiff City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.2)
    3.17
    (3.3)
    3.93
    (3.2)
    4.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Derby will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 23.3%61.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3.
    • Cardiff is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cardiff will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Leg Injury) O'Dowda C. (Muscle Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Reindorf M. (Ankle Injury) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Nyambe R. (Knee Injury) Ozoh D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Wilson K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Derby County were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Derby County - Cardiff City 1:0
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke33008:269
    2Middlesbrough33006:159
    3Coventry321012:487
    4West Brom32105:327
    5Birmingham32104:227
    6Preston32104:227
    7Leicester32014:316
    8Millwall32013:4-16
    9Bristol City31205:235
    10Southampton31114:404
    11Portsmouth31113:304
    12Watford31113:304
    13Swansea31112:204
    14Charlton31111:104
    15Hull31113:5-24
    16Blackburn31024:313
    17Norwich31024:5-13
    18Ipswich30212:3-12
    19Wrexham30125:7-21
    20Derby30125:9-41
    21Sheffield Wed30123:7-41
    22QPR30123:10-71
    23Oxford Utd30032:5-30
    24Sheffield Utd30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One