Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 29
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (192/297) | 66% (212/323) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 52% (49/95) | 49% (49/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 25% (6/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+4', Chambers C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', Willock C. ↓, El Ghazi A. ↑,
- 58', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 59', Ng P. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 0, Robinson C. ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 0, El Ghazi A. ⚽, Robinson C. (A),
- 67', Robertson A. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Salvesen L. ⚽, Yates J. (A),
- 75', Elder C. 🟨,
- 77', Elder C. ↓, Harness M. ↑,
- 84', Robinson C. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
- 84', Ashford C. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
- 86', Goudmijn K. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
- 86', Osborn B. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 86', Yates J. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
45.5% | Draw
30.2% | Derby County
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Cardiff City - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.2) |
3.17 ↓
(3.3) |
3.93 ↑
(3.2) |
4.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Derby will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 23.3% – 61.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3.
- Cardiff is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Derby has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cardiff will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Leg Injury)
O'Dowda C.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Muscle Injury)
Reindorf M.
(Ankle Injury)
Turnbull D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Knee Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Wilson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Derby County?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Cardiff City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Derby County were as follows:
14.09.2024
Derby County
-
Cardiff City
1:0
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
