Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 45
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (310/416) | 60% (149/250) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (310/416) | 60% (149/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (23/62) | 27% (20/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (78/127) | 46% (41/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Slater R. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
- 25', Langas S. 🟨,
- 39', Armstrong H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Egan J. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
- 68', Thompson L. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 80', Harness M. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 83', Jones A. 🟨,
- 84', 0 - 1, Phillips N. ⚽, Forsyth C. (A),
- 88', Amrabat N. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 88', Kamara A. ↓, Joao Pedro Galvao ↑,
- 88', Joseph K. ↓, Crooks M. ↑,
- 90+1', Yates J. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hull City
40.3% | Draw
31.6% | Derby County
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Hull City - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.4) |
3 ↓
(3.12) |
3.4 ↑
(3.16) |
5.1%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Hull City - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Derby will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 3 - 60%). Derby (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 21).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hull won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Hull will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M.
(Knee Injury)
Matazo E.
(Knee Injury)
Millar L.
(Knee Injury)
Zambrano O.
(Doping)
- There will not play in Derby: Elder C.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Thigh Injury)
Roofe K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
Ward J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Hull won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 12:29 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Derby County?
Hull City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Hull City?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hull City - Derby County were as follows:
26.10.2024
Derby County
-
Hull City
1:1
Latest results of Hull City
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
