Result
4:2
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 34
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 3.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (164/283) | 59% (173/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 3.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (164/283) | 59% (173/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (23/67) | 28% (21/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (80/148) | 52% (59/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -1.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', Agyemang P. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Elder C. (Own goal),
- 17', 1 - 1, Forsyth C. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, McBurnie O. ⚽, Gelhardt J. (A),
- 42', 2 - 2, Szmodics S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Elder C. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 53', Giles R. ↓, Drameh C. ↑,
- 60', Coyle L. 🟨,
- 60', Ward J. 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 2, Egan J. ⚽, McBurnie O. (A),
- 79', Ozoh D. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
- 79', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
- 81', Millar L. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
- 82', Gelhardt J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 2, Koumas L. ⚽, Joseph K. (A),
- 89', McBurnie O. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
- 90+5', Joseph K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hull City
39.2% | Draw
28.7% | Derby County
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hull City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hull City - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.14) |
3.29 ↓
(3.35) |
2.95 ↓
(3.4) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hull City - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Derby will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 25.9% – 65.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 1 - 20%). Derby (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Derby (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.75 - Hull (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Derby (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 0.
- Hull is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Hull has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Belloumi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Crooks M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Gyabi D.
(Groin Injury)
Jacob M.
(Knee Injury)
Matazo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Langas S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Hull: Hirakawa Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hull won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Derby County?
Hull City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Hull City?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hull City - Derby County were as follows:
04.11.2025
Derby County
-
Hull City
2:1
26.04.2025
Hull City
-
Derby County
0:1
26.10.2024
Derby County
-
Hull City
1:1
Latest results of Hull City
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
