Derby County vs Hull City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 14
Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.83	1.28
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
71% (242/342)	77% (338/438)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83	1.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.40	1.59
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
10	13
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
7	13
Passes
71% (242/342)	77% (338/438)
Long passes
27% (19/70)	33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
53% (62/116)	55% (62/113)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	6% (1/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	0.62
Throw-ins
24	24
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
80% (8/10)	71% (15/21)
Duels won
46	60
Clearances
20	30
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.59	1.40
Goals prevented
0.59	-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Morris C. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Ndala J. ⚽,
68', Agyemang P. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
70', Ndala J. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
77', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
77', Ozoh D. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
81', Joseph K. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
81', Gelhardt J. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
82', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Salvesen L. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),
85', Salvesen L. 🟨,
86', Egan J. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Derby County
43.3%

Draw
28.3%

Hull City
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.3%

31.1%

Derby County - Hull City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.34)	3.36 ↓ (3.47)	3.3 ↑ (2.91)	5.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Derby County - Hull City?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Hull will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4.
Derby is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hull is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Derby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Johnston M. (Inactive) Nelson C. (Inactive) Thompson L. (Inactive) Travis L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Hamstring Injury) Lundstram J. (Calf Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) McBurnie O. (Inactive) Palmer K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hull: Millar L. (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Derby won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 1.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Hull City?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Derby County?

Hull City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Hull City were as follows:

26.04.2025 Hull City - Derby County 0:1

26.10.2024 Derby County - Hull City 1:1

Latest results of Derby County

01.11.2025 Sheffield United - Derby County 1:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Derby County - Queens Park Rangers 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Derby County - Norwich City 1:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Oxford United - Derby County 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Derby County - Southampton 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Hull City

01.11.2025 Norwich City - Hull City 0:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Hull City - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺

21.10.2025 Hull City - Leicester City 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Hull City - Sheffield United 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One