Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 45
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.41 | 0.30 |
Ball Possession |
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63% | 37% |
Total shots |
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15 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
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75% (310/416) | 60% (149/250) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.41 | 0.30 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.52 | 0.75 |
Total shots |
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15 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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3 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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12 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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20 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 11 |
Passes |
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75% (310/416) | 60% (149/250) |
Long passes |
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37% (23/62) | 27% (20/73) |
Passes in final third |
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61% (78/127) | 46% (41/90) |
Crosses |
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17% (4/24) | 13% (2/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.37 | 0.31 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 24 |
Fouls |
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11 | 15 |
Tackles |
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71% (10/14) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
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62 | 60 |
Clearances |
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25 | 43 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.75 | 0.52 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.25 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Slater R. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
- 25', Langas S. 🟨,
- 39', Armstrong H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Egan J. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
- 68', Thompson L. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 80', Harness M. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 83', Jones A. 🟨,
- 84', 0 - 1, Phillips N. ⚽, Forsyth C. (A),
- 88', Amrabat N. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 88', Kamara A. ↓, Joao Pedro Galvao ↑,
- 88', Joseph K. ↓, Crooks M. ↑,
- 90+1', Yates J. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hull City 40.3% | Draw 31.6% | Derby County 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Hull City - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↓ (2.4) |
3 ↓ (3.12) |
3.4 ↑ (3.16) |
5.1% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Hull City - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Derby will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 3 - 60%). Derby (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 21).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hull won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Hull will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M.
(Knee Injury)
Matazo E.
(Knee Injury)
Millar L.
(Knee Injury)
Zambrano O.
(Doping)
- There will not play in Derby: Elder C.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Thigh Injury)
Roofe K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
Ward J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Hull won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 12:29 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Derby County?
Hull City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Hull City?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hull City - Derby County were as follows:
26.10.2024
Derby County
-
Hull City
1:1
Latest results of Hull City
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One