Derby County vs Hull City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 14
Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.83	1.28
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
71% (242/342)	77% (338/438)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83	1.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.40	1.59
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
10	13
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
7	13
Passes
71% (242/342)	77% (338/438)
Long passes
27% (19/70)	33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
53% (62/116)	55% (62/113)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	6% (1/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	0.62
Throw-ins
24	24
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
80% (8/10)	71% (15/21)
Duels won
46	60
Clearances
20	30
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.59	1.40
Goals prevented
0.59	-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Morris C. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Ndala J. ⚽,
68', Agyemang P. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
70', Ndala J. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
77', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
77', Ozoh D. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
81', Joseph K. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
81', Gelhardt J. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
82', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Salvesen L. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),
85', Salvesen L. 🟨,
86', Egan J. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Derby County
43.3%

Draw
28.3%

Hull City
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.3%

31.1%

Derby County - Hull City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.34)	3.36 ↓ (3.47)	3.3 ↑ (2.91)	5.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Derby County - Hull City?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Hull will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4.
Derby is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hull is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Derby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Johnston M. (Inactive) Nelson C. (Inactive) Thompson L. (Inactive) Travis L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Hamstring Injury) Lundstram J. (Calf Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) McBurnie O. (Inactive) Palmer K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hull: Millar L. (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Derby won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 1.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Hull City?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Derby County?

Hull City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Hull City were as follows:

26.04.2025 Hull City - Derby County 0:1

26.10.2024 Derby County - Hull City 1:1

Latest results of Derby County

01.11.2025 Sheffield United - Derby County 1:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Derby County - Queens Park Rangers 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Derby County - Norwich City 1:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Oxford United - Derby County 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Derby County - Southampton 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Hull City

01.11.2025 Norwich City - Hull City 0:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Hull City - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺

21.10.2025 Hull City - Leicester City 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Hull City - Sheffield United 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One