Hull City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
4:2
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 34
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.603.26
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
36
Big chances
28
Corner kicks
73
Passes
58% (164/283)59% (173/291)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.603.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.162.75
Total shots
918
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
310
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
614
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
28
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2235
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free kicks
919
Passes
58% (164/283)59% (173/291)
Long passes
34% (23/67)28% (21/76)
Passes in final third
54% (80/148)52% (59/113)
Crosses
15% (4/26)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.89
Throw ins
2421
Fouls
199
Tackles
80% (12/15)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5667
Clearances
4644
Interceptions
316
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
2.751.16
Goals prevented
0.75-1.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 2', Agyemang P. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Elder C. (Own goal),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Forsyth C. ⚽,
  • 39', 2 - 1, McBurnie O. ⚽, Gelhardt J. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 2, Szmodics S. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Elder C. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
  • 53', Giles R. ↓, Drameh C. ↑,
  • 60', Coyle L. 🟨,
  • 60', Ward J. 🟨,
  • 75', 3 - 2, Egan J. ⚽, McBurnie O. (A),
  • 79', Ozoh D. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
  • 79', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
  • 81', Millar L. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
  • 82', Gelhardt J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
  • 84', 4 - 2, Koumas L. ⚽, Joseph K. (A),
  • 89', McBurnie O. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
  • 90+5', Joseph K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hull City
39.2%		Draw
28.7%		Derby County
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28.2% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 29.5% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hull City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Hull City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.4 ↑
    (2.14)    		 3.29 ↓
    (3.35)    		 2.95 ↓
    (3.4)    		 6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hull City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Derby will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 25.9% – 65.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 1 - 20%). Derby (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Derby (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Hull (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Derby (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 0.
    • Hull is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Hull has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S. (Hamstring Injury) Belloumi M. (Hamstring Injury) Crooks M. (Hamstring Injury) Gyabi D. (Groin Injury) Jacob M. (Knee Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Langas S. (Hamstring Injury) Widell Zetterstrom J. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Hull: Hirakawa Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hull won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hull City - Derby County were as follows:
    04.11.2025 Derby County - Hull City 2:1
    26.04.2025 Hull City - Derby County 0:1
    26.10.2024 Derby County - Hull City 1:1
    Latest results of Hull City
    21.02.2026 Hull City - Queens Park Rangers 1:3 ✺
    13.02.2026 Hull City - Chelsea 0:4 ✺
    07.02.2026 Hull City - Bristol City 2:3 ✺
    03.02.2026 Hull City - Watford 0:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Hull City 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    21.02.2026 Watford - Derby County 2:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Derby County - Swansea City 2:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Derby County - Ipswich Town 1:2 ✺
    30.01.2026 Bristol City - Derby County 0:5 ✺
    23.01.2026 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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