Derby County vs Norwich City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 11
Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	0.96
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
8	17
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	13
Passes
76% (222/291)	87% (504/579)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	0.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.60	0.47
Total shots
8	17
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
7	14
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	13
Touches in opposition box
18	47
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
7	13
Passes
76% (222/291)	87% (504/579)
Long passes
41% (24/58)	52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
63% (63/100)	72% (100/139)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	20% (7/35)
Expected assists (xA)
1.39	2.59
Throw-ins
20	13
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
50% (3/6)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
39	61
Clearances
55	33
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.47	1.60
Goals prevented
0.47	0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Stacey J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Brewster R. ↓, Langas S. ↑,
47', Sanderson D. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Ozoh D. ⚽, Agyemang P. (A),
60', Adams E. 🟨,
60', Topic M. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
61', Makama J. ↓, Crnac A. ↑,
76', Gibbs L. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,
81', Schwartau O. ↓, Marcondes E. ↑,
85', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
85', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
85', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
90+3', Ozoh D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Derby County
38.1%

Draw
29.3%

Norwich City
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.8%

32.4%

Derby County - Norwich City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.36)	3.26 ↓ (3.44)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	5.4% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Derby County - Norwich City?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Norwich will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Derby (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
Recent form of Derby has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Norwich is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Thompson L. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Hamstring Injury) Cordoba J. (Injury) Diallo P. A. (Muscle Injury) Duffy S. (Calf Injury) Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Kvistgaarden M. (Knee Injury) Slimane A. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Norwich City?

Derby County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Derby County?

Norwich City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Norwich City were as follows:

08.02.2025 Norwich City - Derby County 1:1

28.09.2024 Derby County - Norwich City 2:3

Latest results of Derby County

18.10.2025 Oxford United - Derby County 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Derby County - Southampton 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Derby County - Preston North End 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Norwich City

18.10.2025 Norwich City - Bristol City 0:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Ipswich Town - Norwich City 3:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Stoke City - Norwich City 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Norwich City - Wrexham 2:3 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

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      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One