Result
1:0
21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 11
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (222/291) | 87% (504/579) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (222/291) | 87% (504/579) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (63/100) | 72% (100/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 20% (7/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Stacey J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Brewster R. ↓, Langas S. ↑,
- 47', Sanderson D. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 0, Ozoh D. ⚽, Agyemang P. (A),
- 60', Adams E. 🟨,
- 60', Topic M. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
- 61', Makama J. ↓, Crnac A. ↑,
- 76', Gibbs L. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,
- 81', Schwartau O. ↓, Marcondes E. ↑,
- 85', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 85', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 85', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 90+3', Ozoh D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
38.1% | Draw
29.3% | Norwich City
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Derby County - Norwich City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.36) |
3.26 ↓
(3.44) |
2.93 ↓
(2.95) |
5.4%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Norwich City?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Norwich will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Derby (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- Recent form of Derby has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Norwich is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Thompson L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cordoba J.
(Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Duffy S.
(Calf Injury)
Forson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Kvistgaarden M.
(Knee Injury)
Slimane A.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Norwich City?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Derby County?
Norwich City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Norwich City were as follows:
08.02.2025
Norwich City
-
Derby County
1:1
28.09.2024
Derby County
-
Norwich City
2:3
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Norwich City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
