Oxford United vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kassam Stadium (Oxford).

Championship - Round 10
Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	0.23
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	12
Passes
79% (269/340)	74% (248/335)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	0.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.84	0.12
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
13	4
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	12
Touches in opposition box
22	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
12	9
Passes
79% (269/340)	74% (248/335)
Long passes
40% (23/58)	46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
71% (51/72)	52% (50/96)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	10% (3/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	0.47
Throw-ins
23	21
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
62% (8/13)	81% (13/16)
Duels won
53	48
Clearances
43	19
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.12	1.84
Goals prevented
0.12	0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Mills S. ⚽, De Keersmaecker B. (A),
43', Currie J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
55', Vaulks W. 🟨,
59', Clarke M. 🟨,
61', Weimann A. ↓, Agyemang P. ↑,
71', Mills S. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
71', Ozoh D. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
72', Brannagan C. 🟨,
84', Forsyth C. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
85', Brewster R. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
86', Brown C. 🟨,
89', Prelec N. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
89', Dembele S. ↓, Davies B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Oxford United
45.2%

Draw
31.3%

Derby County
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.5%

31.2%

Oxford United - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.5)	3.31 ↑ (3.12)	4.74 ↑ (3.07)	-3.7% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oxford United - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Derby will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 17.2% – 54.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Thompson L. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Oxford: Johnson J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Derby: Langas S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Derby County?

Oxford United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Oxford United?

Derby County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Derby County were as follows:

11.02.2025 Derby County - Oxford United 0:0

22.10.2024 Oxford United - Derby County 1:1

29.12.2023 Oxford United - Derby County 2:3

15.08.2023 Derby County - Oxford United 1:2

11.03.2023 Oxford United - Derby County 2:3

Latest results of Oxford United

04.10.2025 Watford - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Oxford United - Sheffield United 0:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Bristol City - Oxford United 1:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Oxford United - Leicester City 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

04.10.2025 Derby County - Southampton 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Derby County - Preston North End 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Derby County 0:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One