Derby County vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Derby County - Oxford United
Result
0:0
11/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.25
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
146
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
34
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
411
Offsides
20
Fouls
114
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
3313
Touches in the Opposition Box
1712
Passes
82% (393/480)78% (276/356)
Passes in the final third
59% (50/85)56% (46/82)
Crosses
26% (6/23)25% (3/12)
Tackles
74% (17/23)50% (7/14)
Clearances Total
1834
Interceptions
611

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Mendez-Laing N. , Harness M. ,
  • 59', Goudmijn K. , Yates J. ,
  • 65', Placheta P. , Mills S. ,
  • 65', Matos A. , Rodrigues R. ,
  • 76', Phillips N. , Nyambe R. ,
  • 76', Ozoh D. , Armstrong H. ,
  • 80', Dembele S. , Goodrham T. ,
  • 89', Harris M. , Phillips M. ,
  • 90', Jackson K. , Barkhuizen T. ,
  • 90+1', Harness M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
40.3%
Draw
31.6%
Oxford United
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 28.5% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 29.3% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Derby County - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.05)
    3.01
    (3.33)
    3.39
    (3.74)
    5%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 15 - 41.7%). Oxford will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 36.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 25.6%57.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
    • Derby has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Oxford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Derby will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Wilson K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Woltman M. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Oxford United were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Oxford United - Derby County 1:1
    29.12.2023 Oxford United - Derby County 2:3
    15.08.2023 Derby County - Oxford United 1:2
    11.03.2023 Oxford United - Derby County 2:3
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough853012:5718
    2Coventry844022:71516
    3Stoke842210:5514
    4West Brom84229:7214
    5Bristol City834114:8613
    6Leicester834110:7313
    7Preston83419:7213
    8Swansea83329:7212
    9Charlton83328:6212
    10QPR833211:13-212
    11Birmingham83237:10-311
    12Millwall83236:12-611
    13Ipswich724112:7510
    14Southampton824210:11-110
    15Wrexham823313:14-19
    16Watford82339:10-19
    17Portsmouth82337:9-29
    18Hull823313:16-39
    19Norwich822410:11-18
    20Derby814310:14-47
    21Oxford Utd81349:11-26
    22Blackburn72056:10-46
    23Sheffield Wed81348:15-76
    24Sheffield Utd81073:15-123

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