Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Plymouth Argyle - Derby County
Result
2:3
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 38
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.98
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
51
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
134
Offsides
54
Fouls
413
Yellow Cards
03
Throw-ins
3131
Touches in the Opposition Box
2027
Passes
62% (185/298)54% (120/222)
Passes in the final third
44% (42/95)53% (66/124)
Crosses
21% (5/24)20% (2/10)
Tackles
78% (14/18)65% (11/17)
Clearances Total
3777
Interceptions
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Harness M. , Phillips N. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Armstrong H. ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Bundu M. ,
  • 45+5', Phillips N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 2 - 2, Phillips N. (Own goal),
  • 58', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 61', Thompson L. , Jackson K. ,
  • 63', Wright C. , Obafemi M. ,
  • 72', Mumba B. , Edwards J. ,
  • 72', Gyabi D. , Boateng M. ,
  • 72', Puchacz T. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 74', Wilson K. , Langas S. ,
  • 80', Adams E. 🟨,
  • 84', Szucs K. , Al Hajj R. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Harness M. , Elder C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
31.3%
Draw
32.7%
Derby County
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 28.3% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 28.2% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Plymouth Argyle - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (2.73)
    2.9
    (3.33)
    2.64
    (2.53)
    5.1%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Derby will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.1%73.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Plymouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Randell A. (Injury) Tijani M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Osborn B. (Inactive) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Inactive) Salvesen L. (Inactive) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Pleguezuelo J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Langas S. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Derby County were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Derby County - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    07.03.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Derby County 2:1
    03.09.2022 Derby County - Plymouth Argyle 2:3
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City31205:235
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Derby30125:9-41
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    22Blackburn20021:3-20
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One