Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 38
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.98
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
51
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
134
Offsides
54
Fouls
413
Yellow Cards
03
Throw-ins
3131
Touches in the Opposition Box
2027
Passes
62% (185/298)54% (120/222)
Passes in the final third
44% (42/95)53% (66/124)
Crosses
21% (5/24)20% (2/10)
Tackles
78% (14/18)65% (11/17)
Clearances Total
3777
Interceptions
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Harness M. , Phillips N. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Armstrong H. ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Bundu M. ,
  • 45+5', Phillips N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 2 - 2, Phillips N. (Own goal),
  • 58', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 61', Thompson L. , Jackson K. ,
  • 63', Wright C. , Obafemi M. ,
  • 72', Mumba B. , Edwards J. ,
  • 72', Gyabi D. , Boateng M. ,
  • 72', Puchacz T. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 74', Wilson K. , Langas S. ,
  • 80', Adams E. 🟨,
  • 84', Szucs K. , Al Hajj R. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Harness M. , Elder C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
31.3%
Draw
32.7%
Derby County
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 28.3% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 28.2% 37.1%

Plymouth Argyle - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.05
(2.73)
2.9
(3.33)
2.64
(2.53)
5.1%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Derby will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.1%73.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Plymouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Randell A. (Injury) Tijani M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Osborn B. (Inactive) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Inactive) Salvesen L. (Inactive) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Pleguezuelo J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Langas S. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Derby County were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Derby County - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    07.03.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Derby County 2:1
    03.09.2022 Derby County - Plymouth Argyle 2:3
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry19134250:212943
    2Middlesbrough19106328:20836
    3Millwall19104523:25-234
    4Ipswich1987433:191431
    5Preston1987426:20631
    6Stoke1993726:18830
    7Bristol City1985626:21529
    8Birmingham1984728:23528
    9Hull1984731:34-328
    10QPR1984725:29-428
    11Southampton1976631:26527
    12Wrexham1969424:21327
    13Watford1976627:25227
    14Leicester1976625:24127
    15Derby1975726:28-226
    16West Brom1974821:25-425
    17Charlton1865718:23-523
    18Sheffield Utd19711124:28-422
    19Blackburn1863918:23-521
    20Swansea1955920:27-720
    21Oxford Utd1946920:27-718
    22Portsmouth1845915:25-1017
    23Norwich19341221:32-1113
    24Sheffield Wed18151214:36-22-10

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One