Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 38
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.98
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
51
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
134
Offsides
54
Fouls
413
Yellow Cards
03
Throw-ins
3131
Touches in the Opposition Box
2027
Passes
62% (185/298)54% (120/222)
Passes in the final third
44% (42/95)53% (66/124)
Crosses
21% (5/24)20% (2/10)
Tackles
78% (14/18)65% (11/17)
Clearances Total
3777
Interceptions
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Harness M. , Phillips N. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Armstrong H. ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Bundu M. ,
  • 45+5', Phillips N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 2 - 2, Phillips N. (Own goal),
  • 58', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 61', Thompson L. , Jackson K. ,
  • 63', Wright C. , Obafemi M. ,
  • 72', Mumba B. , Edwards J. ,
  • 72', Gyabi D. , Boateng M. ,
  • 72', Puchacz T. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 74', Wilson K. , Langas S. ,
  • 80', Adams E. 🟨,
  • 84', Szucs K. , Al Hajj R. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Harness M. , Elder C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
31.3%
Draw
32.7%
Derby County
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 28.3% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 28.2% 37.1%

Plymouth Argyle - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.05
(2.73)
2.9
(3.33)
2.64
(2.53)
5.1%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Derby will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.1%73.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Plymouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Randell A. (Injury) Tijani M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Osborn B. (Inactive) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Inactive) Salvesen L. (Inactive) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Pleguezuelo J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Langas S. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Derby County were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Derby County - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    07.03.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Derby County 2:1
    03.09.2022 Derby County - Plymouth Argyle 2:3
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry28177461:313058
    2Middlesbrough28157642:291352
    3Ipswich27148547:242350
    4Hull27145845:39647
    5Millwall28137832:35-346
    6Preston281110736:29743
    7Watford27119738:32642
    8Stoke281251133:25841
    9Wrexham281011740:35541
    10Derby28118938:36241
    11Bristol City281171038:31740
    12QPR281171038:39-140
    13Birmingham281081038:37138
    14Leicester281081039:41-238
    15Southampton28991040:40036
    16Swansea281061231:35-436
    17Sheffield Utd271021536:40-432
    18Charlton27881127:34-732
    19West Brom28941531:43-1231
    20Norwich28861435:40-530
    21Portsmouth26781123:36-1329
    22Blackburn27771325:36-1128
    23Oxford Utd27591325:35-1024
    24Sheffield Wed27181818:54-36-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One