Result
2:3
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 38
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (185/298) | 54% (120/222) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 44% (42/95) | 53% (66/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 20% (2/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 65% (11/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 37 | 77 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Harness M. ⚽, Phillips N. (A),
- 26', 0 - 2, Armstrong H. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 2, Bundu M. ⚽,
- 45+5', Phillips N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 2, Phillips N. (Own goal),
- 58', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 61', Thompson L. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 63', Wright C. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
- 72', Mumba B. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
- 72', Gyabi D. ↓, Boateng M. ↑,
- 72', Puchacz T. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
- 74', Wilson K. ↓, Langas S. ↑,
- 80', Adams E. 🟨,
- 84', Szucs K. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 3, Harness M. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
31.3% | Draw
32.7% | Derby County
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Plymouth Argyle - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.73) |
2.9 ↓
(3.33) |
2.64 ↑
(2.53) |
5.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Derby will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.1% – 73.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Plymouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(Hip Injury)
Randell A.
(Injury)
Tijani M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Osborn B.
(Inactive)
Ozoh D.
(Thigh Injury)
Roofe K.
(Inactive)
Salvesen L.
(Inactive)
Ward J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Pleguezuelo J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Langas S.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Derby County?
Plymouth Argyle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Plymouth Argyle?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Derby County were as follows:
09.11.2024
Derby County
-
Plymouth Argyle
1:1
07.03.2023
Plymouth Argyle
-
Derby County
2:1
03.09.2022
Derby County
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:3
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
