Result
2:3
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 38
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.82 | 0.98 |
Ball Possession |
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58% | 42% |
Goal Attempts |
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11 | 9 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 4 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 4 |
Fouls |
---|
4 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
---|
31 | 31 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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20 | 27 |
Passes |
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62% (185/298) | 54% (120/222) |
Passes in the final third |
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44% (42/95) | 53% (66/124) |
Crosses |
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21% (5/24) | 20% (2/10) |
Tackles |
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78% (14/18) | 65% (11/17) |
Clearances Total |
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37 | 77 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Harness M. ⚽, Phillips N. (A),
- 26', 0 - 2, Armstrong H. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 2, Bundu M. ⚽,
- 45+5', Phillips N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 2, Phillips N. (Own goal),
- 58', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 61', Thompson L. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 63', Wright C. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
- 72', Mumba B. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
- 72', Gyabi D. ↓, Boateng M. ↑,
- 72', Puchacz T. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
- 74', Wilson K. ↓, Langas S. ↑,
- 80', Adams E. 🟨,
- 84', Szucs K. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 3, Harness M. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle 31.3% | Draw 32.7% | Derby County 36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Plymouth Argyle - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.05 ↑ (2.73) |
2.9 ↓ (3.33) |
2.64 ↑ (2.53) |
5.1% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Derby will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.1% – 73.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Plymouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(Hip Injury)
Randell A.
(Injury)
Tijani M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Osborn B.
(Inactive)
Ozoh D.
(Thigh Injury)
Roofe K.
(Inactive)
Salvesen L.
(Inactive)
Ward J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Pleguezuelo J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Langas S.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Derby County?
Plymouth Argyle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Plymouth Argyle?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Derby County were as follows:
09.11.2024
Derby County
-
Plymouth Argyle
1:1
07.03.2023
Plymouth Argyle
-
Derby County
2:1
03.09.2022
Derby County
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:3
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One