Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
2:3
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 45
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
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peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 3
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.170.87
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
123
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
106
Passes
79% (288/366)71% (211/297)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
2.170.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.811.12
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
123
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
73
Shots inside the box
1210
Shots outside the box
112
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
812
Passes
79% (288/366)71% (211/297)
Long passes
53% (39/74)37% (28/75)
Passes in final third
75% (110/147)49% (51/105)
Crosses
20% (5/25)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.970.85
Throw ins
1923
Fouls
128
Tackles
64% (9/14)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
2342
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
010
xGOT faced
1.122.81
Goals prevented
-1.880.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Vale H. ⚽, Bennie D. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Fraulo O. ⚽, Johnston M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Adamson K. ↑,
  • 54', Szmodics S. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Kone R. ⚽, Vale H. (A),
  • 61', Sanderson D. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
  • 62', Johnston M. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
  • 62', Bennie D. ↓, Burrell R. ↑,
  • 62', Morgan K. ↓, Madsen N. ↑,
  • 63', Fraulo O. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
  • 63', Langas S. 🟨,
  • 68', Kone R. ↓, Chair I. ↑,
  • 70', Burrell R. 🟨,
  • 75', Travis L. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Langas S. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
  • 79', Smyth P. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
  • 81', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Banel J. ⚽, Clarke M. (A),
  • 90+1', Szmodics S. ↓, Batth D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Queens Park Rangers
32%		Draw
26.3%		Derby County
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 28.2% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.3% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park Rangers's form might have worsened.
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Queens Park Rangers - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.95 ↑
    (2.39)    		 3.58 ↑
    (3.3)    		 2.26 ↓
    (2.82)    		 6.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Queens Park Rangers - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Derby will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 47.7% – 95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in QPR: Dembele K. (Knee Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Saito K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Clark B. (Injury) Elder C. (Toe Injury)
    • There are questionable in QPR: Dunne J. (Inactive) Poku K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, QPR won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park Rangers - Derby County were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Derby County - Queens Park Rangers 1:0
    14.02.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Derby County 4:0
    05.10.2024 Derby County - Queens Park Rangers 2:0
    Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
    21.04.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City 1:2 ✺
    18.04.2026 Millwall - Queens Park Rangers 2:0 ✺
    11.04.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City 0:0 ✺
    06.04.2026 Preston North End - Queens Park Rangers 1:1 ✺
    03.04.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Watford 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    21.04.2026 Norwich City - Derby County 2:1 ✺
    18.04.2026 Derby County - Oxford United 1:0 ✺
    11.04.2026 Southampton - Derby County 2:1 ✺
    06.04.2026 Derby County - Stoke City 2:0 ✺
    03.04.2026 Coventry City - Derby County 3:2 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

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          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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