Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 12
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (217/294) | 79% (388/489) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (217/294) | 79% (388/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (58/96) | 69% (111/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 56% (15/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Morris C. ⚽, Langas S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Saito K. ↓, Chair I. ↑,
- 46', Vale H. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
- 68', Madsen N. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
- 68', Kone R. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
- 69', Varane J. 🟨,
- 71', Cook S. 🟨,
- 72', Agyemang P. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
- 72', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 75', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Field S. ↑,
- 75', Ozoh D. 🟨,
- 88', Johnston M. ↓, Nyambe R. ↑,
- 90+2', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 90+2', Morris C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County
37% | Draw
28.1% | Queens Park Rangers
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Derby County - Queens Park Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.21) |
3.4 ↓
(3.65) |
2.76 ↓
(2.98) |
5.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Queens Park Rangers?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). QPR will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 15.1% – 58.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 6 - 66.7%). QPR (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - QPR (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - QPR (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - QPR (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 6 - 40%). QPR (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Derby: Adams E.
(Yellow Cards)
Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Walsh J.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Thompson L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Derby won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Queens Park Rangers?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Derby County?
Queens Park Rangers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
14.02.2025
Queens Park Rangers
-
Derby County
4:0
05.10.2024
Derby County
-
Queens Park Rangers
2:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
