Louisville City vs Detroit City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY).

USL Championship - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.67
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
17	3
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	2
Passes
80% (358/449)	71% (235/330)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.15	0.59
Total shots
17	3
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked Shots
8	1
Shots inside the Box
10	3
Shots outside the Box
7	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	2
Touches in opposition box
30	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
9	13
Passes
80% (358/449)	71% (235/330)
Long passes
30% (14/47)	40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
69% (135/196)	58% (34/59)
Crosses
16% (9/58)	75% (3/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.93	0.35
Throw-ins
27	21
Fouls
13	9
Tackles
86% (12/14)	50% (4/8)
Duels won
49	57
Clearances
11	67
Interceptions
10	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.59	0.15
Goals prevented
-0.41	0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Amoo-Mensah D. ⚽, Chapman J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Goodrum P. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
62', Dia A. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
62', Serrano R. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
62', Diouf A. ↓, Villanueva A. ↑,
71', Ownby B. 🟨,
72', Smith D. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
73', Cedeno J. ↓, Hernandez-Foster K. ↑,
73', Cedeno J. 🟨,
75', Adams K. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
76', Wilson J. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
79', LeFlore I. 🟨,
81', Yamazaki H. ↓, Carroll S. . ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Louisville City
57%

Draw
24.5%

Detroit City
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.2%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Louisville City's form might have worsened.

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisville City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Louisville City - Detroit City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.49)	3.74 ↓ (4.2)	4.97 ↓ (6.05)	9.1% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
Louisville City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Detroit City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Louisville City is a strong favorite.
We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 2.8:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Detroit City?

Louisville City has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Detroit City won against Louisville City?

Detroit City has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Detroit City were as follows:

27.09.2025 Detroit City - Louisville City 0:1

29.03.2025 Louisville City - Detroit City 2:0

22.09.2024 Detroit City - Louisville City 2:1

29.05.2024 Louisville City - Detroit City 5:1

28.10.2023 Louisville City - Detroit City 4:0

Latest results of Louisville City

25.10.2025 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 1:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Orange County SC - Louisville City 0:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Louisville City - Miami 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Louisville City - Indy Eleven 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Detroit City - Louisville City 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Detroit City

25.10.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Detroit City 1:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Charleston Battery - Detroit City 1:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Detroit City - Loudoun United 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Detroit City - North Carolina 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Detroit City - Louisville City 0:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)