Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (287/373) | 60% (142/237) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (287/373) | 60% (142/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (42/85) | 35% (24/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (64/114) | 54% (63/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Totsch S. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Davila E. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
- 61', Villanueva A. ↓, LeFlore I. ↑,
- 62', Cedeno J. ↓, Chapman J. ↑,
- 62', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
- 68', Perez A. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
- 70', Ownby B. 🟨,
- 74', Sheldon M. ↓, Yamazaki H. ↑,
- 76', Diouf A. 🟨,
- 80', Davila T. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 80', Gleadle S. ↓, Goodrum P. ↑,
- 82', Diop A. ↓, Guenzatti S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Detroit City
21.4% | Draw
28.2% | Louisville City
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Detroit City's form might have worsened.Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Detroit City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louisville City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Detroit City - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.7 ↑
(3.13) |
3.57 ↑
(3.41) |
2 ↓
(2.19) |
-0.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Detroit City - Louisville City?
Users Predictions:
Louisville City will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Louisville City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 2.
- Recent performances by Detroit City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Louisville City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Detroit City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Detroit City has had a series of home games.
- Louisville City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Detroit City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Detroit City won against Louisville City?
Detroit City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Detroit City?
Louisville City has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Detroit City - Louisville City were as follows:
29.03.2025
Louisville City
-
Detroit City
2:0
22.09.2024
Detroit City
-
Louisville City
2:1
29.05.2024
Louisville City
-
Detroit City
5:1
28.10.2023
Louisville City
-
Detroit City
4:0
19.07.2023
Detroit City
-
Louisville City
2:0
Latest results of Detroit City
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
