Result
2:1 ET
29/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (791/880) | 79% (281/355) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (791/880) | 79% (281/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (190/229) | 66% (77/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (12/36) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', McGlynn J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Dayes B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', McGlynn J. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
- 58', Moguel C. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
- 59', Bogusz M. ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
- 59', Samassekou D. ↓, Artur ↑,
- 66', Wilson J. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
- 66', Showunmi T. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 1, Serrano R. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
- 69', Bouzat A. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
- 75', Davila E. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
- 75', Perez E. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 78', Lingr O. 🟨,
- 81', Negri F. ↓, Felipe Andrade ↑,
- 86', Duncan Z. ↓, Duke C. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Sviatchenko E. ⚽, Herrera H. (A),
- 90', Sviatchenko E. ↓, Resch A. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 101', 2 - 1, Ponce E. ⚽, Herrera H. (A),
- 112', Ponce E. 🟨,
- 117', Duke C. 🟨,
- 120+1', Serrano R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Houston Dynamo
58.1% | Draw
23.7% | Louisville City
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Houston Dynamo - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.54) |
3.89 ↑
(3.72) |
5.07 ↓
(5.27) |
8.5%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - Louisville City?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Louisville City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Houston have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Louisville City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Houston is seen as the favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against Louisville City?
Houston Dynamo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Houston Dynamo?
Louisville City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - Louisville City were as follows:
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
Latest results of Louisville City
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 4 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 7 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 13 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 15 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 16 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 21 | DC United | Bye | |
| 23 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 24 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 26 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | New York City | |
| 29 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 31 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 34 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 37 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 39 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 40 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 41 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 42 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 45 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 47 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 48 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 49 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 53 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 55 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 56 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 57 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 58 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 61 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 63 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 64 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 3 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 4 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 7 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 11 | DC United | Bye | |
| 12 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | New York City | |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 16 | Pittsburgh | Virginia Dream | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Flint City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 19 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 20 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 21 | Lexington | Louisville City | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 23 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 24 | New Mexico | El Paso | 0 : 4 |
| 25 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 28 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | 0 : 4 |
| 30 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 31 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 32 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | FC Naples | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | Rhode Island | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | Atlanta Utd | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Charlotte | Charlotte Independ. | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Richmond Kickers | Columbus Crew | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | DC United | One Knoxville | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | Westchester SC | New York City | 2 : 5 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | Pittsburgh | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Detroit | Chicago Fire | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | St. Louis City | FC Tulsa | 4 : 0 |
| 11 | Louisville City | Austin FC | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | El Paso | 4 : 1 |
| 13 | Colorado Springs | Sporting Kansas City | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | Union Omaha | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Sacramento Republic | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | San Jose Earthquakes | Phoenix Rising | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Orlando City | New England Revolution | 4 : 3 |
| 2 | Atlanta Utd | Charlotte | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | One Knoxville | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | New York City | New York Red Bulls | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | St. Louis City | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Louisville City | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | Colorado Rapids | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Orlando City | Atlanta Utd | |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | New York City | |
| 3 | St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | San Jose Earthquakes | |
Semi-finalsFinal
