Result
3:2
04/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 🟥,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leioa
51.3% | Draw
29.8% | Deusto
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leioa's performance.Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+3%)
Leioa - Deusto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.98) |
3.03 ↑
(2.85) |
4.8 ↑
(4) |
10.5%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Leioa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Deusto?
Leioa has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Leioa?
Deusto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Deusto were as follows:
26.04.2025
Deusto
-
Leioa
2:0
14.12.2024
Leioa
-
Deusto
1:0
16.03.2024
Deusto
-
Leioa
3:2
28.10.2023
Leioa
-
Deusto
0:2
21.05.2023
Leioa
-
Deusto
2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
