Result
3:2
04/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 🟥,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leioa 51.3% | Draw 29.8% | Deusto 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Leioa - Deusto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.98) |
3.03 ↑ (2.85) |
4.8 ↑ (4) |
10.5% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Leioa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Deusto?
Leioa has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Leioa?
Deusto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Deusto were as follows:
26.04.2025
Deusto
-
Leioa
2:0
14.12.2024
Leioa
-
Deusto
1:0
16.03.2024
Deusto
-
Leioa
3:2
28.10.2023
Leioa
-
Deusto
0:2
21.05.2023
Leioa
-
Deusto
2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 46:15 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Lagun Onak | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 36:18 | 18 | 40 |
| 3 | Leioa | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 30:19 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 35 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 34 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30:22 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Derio | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 29:27 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Durango | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 30 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 22 |
| 14 | Anorga | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 13:25 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 19:37 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation