Result
3:2
04/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 🟥,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leioa
51.3% | Draw
29.8% | Deusto
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Leioa - Deusto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.98) |
3.03 ↑
(2.85) |
4.8 ↑
(4) |
10.5%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Leioa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Deusto?
Leioa has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Leioa?
Deusto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Deusto were as follows:
26.04.2025
Deusto
-
Leioa
2:0
14.12.2024
Leioa
-
Deusto
1:0
16.03.2024
Deusto
-
Leioa
3:2
28.10.2023
Leioa
-
Deusto
0:2
21.05.2023
Leioa
-
Deusto
2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 44 |
| 2 | Lagun Onak | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 32:16 | 16 | 33 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | Leioa | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 29 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:19 | 6 | 28 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Derio | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | Durango | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 25 |
| 11 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11:21 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | Zarautz KE | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | SD Deusto | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Eibar C | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Anorga | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12:32 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
