Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 22
- Referee: Hilsberg S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Germany | Magenta Sport |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Bulic R. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, El-Zein A. ⚽, Dajaku L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tugbenyo J. ↓, Symalla J. ↑,
- 46', Bulic R. ↓, Muller L. ↑,
- 51', Noss C. 🟨,
- 63', Bazzoli L. 🟨,
- 65', Sussek P. ↓, Borkowski D. ↑,
- 65', Noss C. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
- 67', Hahn A. 🟨,
- 72', Kolle N. 🟨,
- 76', Sadlek G. E. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
- 78', El-Zein A. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
- 78', Dajaku L. ↓, Loder E. ↑,
- 78', Kolle N. ↓, Mazagg L. ↑,
- 85', Brandt M. ↓, Vukancic N. ↑,
- 90+1', Meier J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Chessa D. ↓, Vater F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ulm 1846 29.4% | Draw 27.6% | Duisburg 43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+2%)
Ulm 1846 - Duisburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.17 ↑ (3.05) |
3.38 ↓ (3.67) |
2.16 ↑ (2.1) |
7.5% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Duisburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Duisburg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Ulm (2.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Duisburg will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 4 - 50%). Duisburg (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Duisburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Duisburg could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Duisburg?
Ulm 1846 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Duisburg won against Ulm 1846?
Duisburg has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Duisburg were as follows:
23.08.2025
Duisburg
-
Ulm 1846
2:1
27.01.2024
Ulm 1846
-
Duisburg
2:2
25.08.2023
Duisburg
-
Ulm 1846
1:1
Latest results of Ulm 1846
Latest results of Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 61 |
| 2 | RW Essen | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 61:49 | 12 | 55 |
| 3 | Verl | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 70:41 | 29 | 54 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 54:41 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | Cottbus | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 55:44 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 53:32 | 21 | 53 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 46:39 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Wehen | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 49:54 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 50:41 | 9 | 40 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Viktoria Koln | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 35 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 40:46 | -6 | 33 |
| 17 | Ulm | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 39:62 | -23 | 25 |
| 18 | Aue | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 34:54 | -20 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:69 | -26 | 23 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 30 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 29:69 | -40 | 17 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation