Ulm 1846 vs Duisburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 22
  • Referee: Hilsberg S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
58
Corner kicks
68
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
58
Corner kicks
68
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1015
Throw ins
2528
Fouls
1310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Bulic R. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, El-Zein A. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tugbenyo J. , Symalla J. ,
  • 46', Bulic R. , Muller L. ,
  • 51', Noss C. 🟨,
  • 63', Bazzoli L. 🟨,
  • 65', Sussek P. , Borkowski D. ,
  • 65', Noss C. , Kruger F. ,
  • 67', Hahn A. 🟨,
  • 72', Kolle N. 🟨,
  • 76', Sadlek G. E. , Topken T. ,
  • 78', El-Zein A. , Roser L. ,
  • 78', Dajaku L. , Loder E. ,
  • 78', Kolle N. , Mazagg L. ,
  • 85', Brandt M. , Vukancic N. ,
  • 90+1', Meier J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Chessa D. , Vater F. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
29.4%
Draw
27.6%
Duisburg
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 25.3% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 24.8% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Ulm 1846 - Duisburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (3.05)
    3.38
    (3.67)
    2.16
    (2.1)
    7.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Duisburg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Duisburg (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Ulm (2.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Duisburg will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 4 - 50%). Duisburg (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Duisburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Duisburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Duisburg were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Duisburg - Ulm 1846 2:1
    27.01.2024 Ulm 1846 - Duisburg 2:2
    25.08.2023 Duisburg - Ulm 1846 1:1
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    24.01.2026 Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846 0:3
    17.01.2026 Ulm 1846 - Wehen Wiesbaden 0:1
    05.01.2026 Ulm 1846 - Bonner 2:1
    20.12.2025 Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 3:2
    12.12.2025 Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück 3:5
    Latest results of Duisburg
    24.01.2026 Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg 2:0
    09.01.2026 Hannover - Duisburg 2:0
    21.12.2025 Viktoria Köln - Duisburg 0:0
    13.12.2025 Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue 0:0
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck30187550:262461
    2RW Essen301510561:491255
    3Verl30159670:412954
    4Duisburg30159654:411354
    5Cottbus30159655:441154
    6Hansa Rostock301411553:322153
    7Munich 186030147946:39749
    8Wehen301461042:33948
    9Mannheim301431349:54-545
    10Alemannia Aachen301351253:51244
    11Ingolstadt3010101050:41940
    12Regensburg301161342:45-339
    13Viktoria Koln301151441:41038
    14Stuttgart II301151436:49-1338
    15Hoffenheim II301051553:54-135
    16Saarbrucken307121140:46-633
    17Ulm30741939:62-2325
    18Aue30591634:54-2024
    19TSV Havelse30581743:69-2623
    20Schweinfurt30522329:69-4017

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation