Ulm 1846 vs Duisburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 22
  • Referee: Hilsberg S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
58
Corner kicks
68
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
58
Corner kicks
68
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1015
Throw ins
2528
Fouls
1310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Bulic R. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, El-Zein A. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tugbenyo J. , Symalla J. ,
  • 46', Bulic R. , Muller L. ,
  • 51', Noss C. 🟨,
  • 63', Bazzoli L. 🟨,
  • 65', Sussek P. , Borkowski D. ,
  • 65', Noss C. , Kruger F. ,
  • 67', Hahn A. 🟨,
  • 72', Kolle N. 🟨,
  • 76', Sadlek G. E. , Topken T. ,
  • 78', El-Zein A. , Roser L. ,
  • 78', Dajaku L. , Loder E. ,
  • 78', Kolle N. , Mazagg L. ,
  • 85', Brandt M. , Vukancic N. ,
  • 90+1', Meier J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Chessa D. , Vater F. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
29.4%
Draw
27.6%
Duisburg
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 25.3% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 24.8% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Ulm 1846 - Duisburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (3.05)
    3.38
    (3.67)
    2.16
    (2.1)
    7.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Duisburg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Duisburg (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Ulm (2.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Duisburg will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 4 - 50%). Duisburg (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Duisburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Duisburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Duisburg were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Duisburg - Ulm 1846 2:1
    27.01.2024 Ulm 1846 - Duisburg 2:2
    25.08.2023 Duisburg - Ulm 1846 1:1
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    24.01.2026 Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846 0:3
    17.01.2026 Ulm 1846 - Wehen Wiesbaden 0:1
    05.01.2026 Ulm 1846 - Bonner 2:1
    20.12.2025 Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 3:2
    12.12.2025 Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück 3:5
    Latest results of Duisburg
    24.01.2026 Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg 2:0
    09.01.2026 Hannover - Duisburg 2:0
    21.12.2025 Viktoria Köln - Duisburg 0:0
    13.12.2025 Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue 0:0
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck27157543:251852
    2Cottbus27157553:391452
    3Duisburg26138547:331447
    4Verl27129661:402145
    5Munich 186027136844:37745
    6Wehen26135840:291144
    7Hansa Rostock261110544:301443
    8RW Essen261110550:44643
    9Mannheim261231143:47-439
    10Viktoria Koln271151138:35338
    11Ingolstadt2699845:36936
    12Hoffenheim II271051251:48335
    13Regensburg271051236:40-435
    14Stuttgart II271051233:44-1135
    15Alemannia Aachen26951243:48-532
    16Saarbrucken26611935:38-329
    17Aue27591330:45-1524
    18Ulm27731735:55-2024
    19TSV Havelse26481436:56-2020
    20Schweinfurt26322123:61-3811

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation