Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 18
- Referee: Wulkan J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (89/169) | 71% (185/261) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (89/169) | 71% (185/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (14/50) | 36% (16/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (37/64) | 61% (59/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Krollis R. 🟨,
- 13', Plechaty D. 🟨,
- 18', Sehovic Z. 🟨,
- 37', Soliu A. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Kroupa M. ⚽, Kadak J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dulay P. ↓, Hodous P. ↑,
- 46', Mahmic E. ↓, Masek L. ↑,
- 62', Kadak J. ↓, Cernak M. ↑,
- 62', Kroupa M. ↓, Jedlicka T. ↑,
- 68', Jedlicka T. 🟨,
- 73', Icha M. ↓, Kozeluh J. ↑,
- 79', Cernak M. 🟨,
- 80', Kayondo A. ↓, Rus D. ↑,
- 89', Cisse N. ↓, Hasek D. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Krollis R. ⚽, N'Guessan A. (A),
- 90+2', Isife S. ↓, Sebrle S. ↑,
- 90+2', Gaszczyk P. ↓, Zitny M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dukla Prague
20.1% | Draw
26.4% | Slovan Liberec
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Slovan Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Liberec than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Dukla Prague - Slovan Liberec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.65 ↑
(4) |
3.57 ↑
(3.25) |
1.76 ↓
(1.9) |
6.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dukla Prague - Slovan Liberec?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Dukla Prague will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Slovan Liberec will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slovan Liberec: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Slovan Liberec (1.31) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Slovan Liberec will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Slovan Liberec (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 1.
- Recent form of Dukla Prague has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Slovan Liberec is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Slovan Liberec is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Dukla Prague: Diallo B.
(Injury)
Emeka C.
(Injury)
Hunal E.
(Yellow Cards)
Mikus R.
(Knee Injury)
Peterka J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Slovan Liberec: Gabriel S.
(Knee Injury)
Knapik J.
(Knee Injury)
Ryzek M.
(Injury)
Spatenka F.
(Health problems)
Zyba Q.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dukla Prague: Cermak M.
(Injury)
Hasek D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Prague won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Slovan Liberec?
Dukla Prague has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slovan Liberec won against Dukla Prague?
Slovan Liberec has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dukla Prague - Slovan Liberec were as follows:
09.08.2025
Slovan Liberec
-
Dukla Prague
2:0
02.03.2025
Slovan Liberec
-
Dukla Prague
1:1
28.09.2024
Dukla Prague
-
Slovan Liberec
1:4
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Latest results of Slovan Liberec
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 50:18 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Karvina | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Hradec Kralove | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Zlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Teplice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 14:34 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
