Result
1:0 penalties
30/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Stezhko V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mukailov K. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
- 52', Lenini K. 🟨,
- 55', Khmarin A. ↓, Olaza L. ↑,
- 55', Joao Batxi ↓, Victor Sa ↑,
- 55', Spertsyan E. ↓, Douglas Augusto ↑,
- 61', Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↓, Maouhoub E. ↑,
- 61', Fomin D. ↓, Glebov D. ↑,
- 61', Tyukavin K. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
- 61', Perrin G. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 70', Babaev U. ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
- 90', Diego Costa 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Sergeev I. (Pen),
- 1, Olaza L. (Pen),
- 2, Gladyshev Y. (Pen),
- 2, Cordoba J. (Pen),
- 3, Maouhoub E. (Pen),
- 3, Kozlov D. (Pen),
- 4, Miranchuk An. (Pen),
- 4, Lenini K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
40.2% | Draw
26.8% | Dynamo Moscow
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krasnodar's form might have worsened.Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Moscow's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(1.92) |
3.63 ↓
(3.84) |
2.95 ↓
(4.2) |
2.9%
(1.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 5.
- In recent matches, Krasnodar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dynamo M is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Krasnodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of away games.
- Krasnodar could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Dynamo Moscow?
Krasnodar has won 9 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Krasnodar?
Dynamo Moscow has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
13.08.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Krasnodar
0:4
02.08.2025
Krasnodar
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:0
24.05.2025
Krasnodar
-
Dynamo Moscow
3:0
21.02.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:2
25.08.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Krasnodar
0:1
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Russian Cup Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Zenit ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Sochi | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:15 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 3 | FK Rostov | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Pari NN | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 3 |
Group D | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Baltika | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
