Eibar vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Eibar - Castellón
Result
0:0
12/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.49
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
81% (339/420)81% (341/420)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.97
Total shots
716
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2425
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
613
Passes
81% (339/420)81% (341/420)
Long passes
47% (23/49)46% (27/59)
Passes in final third
57% (54/94)70% (85/121)
Crosses
23% (3/13)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.260.61
Throw-ins
1526
Fouls
136
Tackles
67% (16/24)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
2822
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.970.00
Goals prevented
0.970.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Mamah K. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Ronaldo 🟨,
  • 61', Mabil A. , De Nipoti T. ,
  • 63', Doue M. 🟨,
  • 64', Alkain X. , Martinez J. ,
  • 64', Garrido A. , Guruzeta J. ,
  • 73', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. , Javier Marton ,
  • 73', Cubero S. , Nolaskoain P. ,
  • 75', Ronaldo , Gerenabarrena B. ,
  • 75', Jakobsen A. , Santiago P. ,
  • 81', Mamah K. , Markanich N. ,
  • 86', Moreno M. , Arambarri A. ,
  • 86', Ares A. , Villa T. ,
  • 90+5', De Nipoti T. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2s3zd9df

Chances of winning


Eibar
37.8%
Draw
31%
Castellón
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 25.9% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 26.6% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eibar's form might have worsened.
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Eibar - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.01)
    3.02
    (3.6)
    3.02
    (3.36)
    5.8%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Eibar - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 49.9%90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Castellón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Castellón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Eibar: Arambarri A. (Hamstring Injury) Buta L. (Red Card) Corpas J. (Yellow Cards) Madariaga A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Brignani F. (Injury) Camara O. (International duty) Cipenga B. (International duty) Gil O. (Injury) Sienra A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Ronaldo (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Eibar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Castellón were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Castellón - Eibar 2:0
    17.08.2024 Eibar - Castellón 1:0
    Latest results of Eibar
    03.10.2025 Ceuta - Eibar 1:0
    21.09.2025 Eibar - Real Sociedad B 2:1
    13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0
    08.09.2025 Eibar - FC Andorra 2:0
    Latest results of Castellón
    29.09.2025 Leganés - Castellón 0:1
    20.09.2025 Leonesa - Castellón 1:3
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander1061324:17719
    2Las Palmas1053211:6518
    3Cadiz CF1053211:9218
    4Dep. La Coruna1044218:11716
    5Almeria1044219:17216
    6Burgos CF1043316:11515
    7Valladolid1043312:9315
    8Andorra1043313:13015
    9Gijon1050516:17-115
    10Ceuta1043310:12-215
    11Leganes1035210:7314
    12Albacete1034315:16-113
    13Cordoba1034311:13-213
    14Huesca94148:11-313
    15Eibar1033411:10112
    16Castellon1033413:13012
    17Cultural Leonesa1032512:13-111
    18Malaga103259:12-311
    19Granada CF1024411:15-410
    20Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    21Mirandes102359:14-59
    22Zaragoza101366:17-116

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