Result
3:1
16/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (350/413) | 80% (233/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (350/413) | 80% (233/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (40/66) | 58% (25/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (47/69) | 61% (63/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -2.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Moreno A. ⚽, Ortiz A. (A),
- 29', Blake J. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Calvillo E. ⚽, Cabrera A. (A),
- 37', Foster M. 🟨,
- 42', Ruiz R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', O'Brien J. ↓, Rendon B. ↑,
- 46', Ofeimu B. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
- 46', Amoh E. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 47', Hogan P. 🟨,
- 65', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 74', Avila R. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 0, Daroma F. ⚽, Cabrera A. (A),
- 84', Blake J. ↓, Lindley C. ↑,
- 84', Foster M. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 1, Kizza E. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
- 87', Moreno A. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive
43.1% | Draw
26.5% | Indy Eleven
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.58) |
3.49 ↑
(3.12) |
3.05 ↑
(2.7) |
8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
- El Paso could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Indy Eleven?
El Paso Locomotive has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against El Paso Locomotive?
Indy Eleven has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven were as follows:
14.09.2024
Indy Eleven
-
El Paso Locomotive
3:1
19.08.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Indy Eleven
2:3
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
