Austin FC vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.850.89
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2118
Shots on target
107
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
81% (277/342)87% (347/401)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.850.89
xG on target (xGOT)
3.750.96
Total shots
2118
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1712
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
4720
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
81% (277/342)87% (347/401)
Long passes
62% (24/39)56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
62% (71/114)70% (52/74)
Crosses
40% (8/20)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.58
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
1510
Tackles
77% (10/13)83% (19/23)
Duels won
3644
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
0.963.75
Goals prevented
-1.040.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 19', Obrian J. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Avila R. , Moreno A. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 2, Avila R. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Rubio D. , Taylor R. ,
  • 46', Obrian J. , Bukari O. ,
  • 60', Dubersarsky N. , Sanchez I. ,
  • 60', Sabovic B. , Wolff O. ,
  • 62', Kolmanic Z. , Guilherme Biro ,
  • 70', Avila R. , Moshobane T. ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Vazquez B. , Wolff O. (A),
  • 76', 2 - 2, Uzuni M. , Vazquez B. (A),
  • 80', 3 - 2, Vazquez B. , Wolff O. (A),
  • 81', Quezada A. , Coronado R. ,
  • 81', Moreno A. , Carter D. ,
  • 81', Gabriel Torres , Diaz M. ,
  • 85', Cabrera A. , Lopez F. ,
  • 88', Wolff O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Austin FC
61.9%
Draw
22%
El Paso Locomotive
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.6% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 23.3% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Austin FC - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.55)
    4.15
    (3.82)
    5.7
    (4.9)
    9.3%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Austin FC - El Paso Locomotive?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). El Paso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Austin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • El Paso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Austin is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.
    3Westchester SCNew York City2 : 5
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh
    5DetroitChicago Fire1 : 2
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa
    7Louisville CityAustin FC2 : 1
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City3 : 0
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha1 : 0
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United0 : 1
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
    13FC NaplesOrlando City
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island2 : 1
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2New York CityTBD #4
    3Chicago FireTBD #6
    4Louisville CityTBD #8
    5Colorado SpringsColorado Rapids
    6Minnesota UnitedTBD #12
    7TBD #13New England Revolution
    8TBD #15TBD #16