El Paso Locomotive vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
16/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.11
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
85% (350/413)80% (233/290)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.94
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2212
Passes
85% (350/413)80% (233/290)
Long passes
61% (40/66)58% (25/43)
Passes in final third
68% (47/69)61% (63/103)
Crosses
33% (3/9)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.58
Throw-ins
2820
Fouls
1222
Tackles
79% (11/14)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4943
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.940.94
Goals prevented
-0.06-2.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Moreno A. , Ortiz A. (A),
  • 29', Blake J. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Calvillo E. , Cabrera A. (A),
  • 37', Foster M. 🟨,
  • 42', Ruiz R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', O'Brien J. , Rendon B. ,
  • 46', Ofeimu B. , Collier E. ,
  • 46', Amoh E. , Williams R. ,
  • 47', Hogan P. 🟨,
  • 65', Diaz M. 🟨,
  • 74', Avila R. , Coronado R. ,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Daroma F. , Cabrera A. (A),
  • 84', Blake J. , Lindley C. ,
  • 84', Foster M. , Kizza E. ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Kizza E. , Quinn A. (A),
  • 87', Moreno A. , Lopez F. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
43.1%
Draw
26.5%
Indy Eleven
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 29.8% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 29.4% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.
  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.58)
    3.49
    (3.12)
    3.05
    (2.7)
    8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
    • El Paso could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Indy Eleven - El Paso Locomotive 3:1
    19.08.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven 2:3
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)