El Paso Locomotive vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
16/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.11
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
85% (350/413)80% (233/290)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.94
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2212
Passes
85% (350/413)80% (233/290)
Long passes
61% (40/66)58% (25/43)
Passes in final third
68% (47/69)61% (63/103)
Crosses
33% (3/9)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.58
Throw-ins
2820
Fouls
1222
Tackles
79% (11/14)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4943
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.940.94
Goals prevented
-0.06-2.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Moreno A. , Ortiz A. (A),
  • 29', Blake J. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Calvillo E. , Cabrera A. (A),
  • 37', Foster M. 🟨,
  • 42', Ruiz R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', O'Brien J. , Rendon B. ,
  • 46', Ofeimu B. , Collier E. ,
  • 46', Amoh E. , Williams R. ,
  • 47', Hogan P. 🟨,
  • 65', Diaz M. 🟨,
  • 74', Avila R. , Coronado R. ,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Daroma F. , Cabrera A. (A),
  • 84', Blake J. , Lindley C. ,
  • 84', Foster M. , Kizza E. ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Kizza E. , Quinn A. (A),
  • 87', Moreno A. , Lopez F. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
43.1%
Draw
26.5%
Indy Eleven
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 29.8% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 29.4% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.
  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.58)
    3.49
    (3.12)
    3.05
    (2.7)
    8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
    • El Paso could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Indy Eleven - El Paso Locomotive 3:1
    19.08.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven 2:3
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)